| Region: FL 5B Centrl | State: FL | Coach: Brian Theiss |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/05 | UNIVERSITY (2-12) | FL 8B Centrl | 73.9 | | W | 24- | 1 | | 0.000 |
2/07 | at Winter Park (17-2) | FL 8B Centrl | 94.9 | 2 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.325 |
2/13 | at Winter Springs (14-4) | FL 4B Centrl | 93.2 | 4 | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.150 |
2/16 | GULLIVER PREP (12-5) | FL Dist-12 | 87.8 | | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.025 |
2/20 | LAKE MARY (9-7) | FL 4B Centrl | 89.0 | 9 | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
2/23 | at Saint Andrews (22-1) | FL Dist-10 | 98.9 | | L | 10- | 16 | | -0.150 |
2/27 | at Hagerty (5-9) | FL 5B Centrl | 77.5 | | W | 16- | 0 | | 0.000 |
2/29 | LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (14-5) | FL 8B Centrl | 93.8 | 3 | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.075 |
3/05 | LYMAN (5-9) | FL 5B Centrl | 82.1 | | W | 19- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/08 | LAKE HOWELL (6-8) | FL 5B Centrl | 80.6 | | W | 19- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/14 | at Oviedo (8-8) | FL 5B Centrl | 87.4 | | W | 24- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/15 | at Episcopal Jacksonville (10-7) | FL 2B Centrl | 87.3 | | W | 18- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/19 | at Seminole (1-10) | FL 4B Centrl | 74.0 | | W | 27- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | APOPKA (1-13) | FL 6B Centrl | 73.7 | | W | 22- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/28 | TIMBER CREEK (11-5) | FL 8B Centrl | 91.5 | 7 | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/02 | LAKE HOWELL (6-8) | FL 5B Centrl | 80.6 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/04 | vs. Oviedo # (8-8) | FL 5B Centrl | 87.4 | | W | 24- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/11 | at Winter Springs (14-4) | FL 4B Centrl | 93.2 | 4 | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.150 |
4/18 | vs. Winter Park # (17-2) | FL 8B Centrl | 94.9 | 2 | W | 11- | 2 | | 0.150 |
4/19 | vs. Saint Andrews # (22-1) | FL Dist-10 | 98.9 | | L | 8- | 16 | | -0.175 |
| # Neutral site | | 84.3 | | | | | | -0.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/05 | H | University | 24- | 1 | 23 | 27 | – | -1.48 | -3.52 | |
2/07 | A | Winter Park | 9- | 10 | -1 | 3 | – | 1.48 | -3.72 | |
2/13 | A | Winter Springs | 10- | 3 | 7 | 4 | + | 1.48 | 3.06 | |
2/16 | H | Gulliver Prep | 14- | 7 | 7 | 9 | – | -1.15 | | -2.28 |
2/20 | H | Lake Mary | 16- | 3 | 13 | 13 | | -1.48 | -0.09 | |
2/23 | A | Saint Andrews | 10- | 16 | -6 | -4 | | 1.15 | | -1.85 |
2/27 | A | Hagerty | 16- | 0 | 16 | 19 | – | 1.48 | -3.31 | |
2/29 | H | Lake Highland Prep | 11- | 10 | 1 | 7 | ––– | -1.48 | -6.15 | |
3/05 | H | Lyman | 19- | 3 | 16 | 18 | – | -1.48 | -2.02 | |
3/08 | H | Lake Howell | 19- | 2 | 17 | 19 | – | -1.48 | -2.42 | |
3/14 | A | Oviedo | 24- | 3 | 21 | 13 | +++ | 1.48 | 7.91 | |
3/15 | A | Episcopal Jacksonville | 18- | 3 | 15 | 12 | + | 1.48 | 2.51 | |
3/19 | A | Seminole | 27- | 2 | 25 | 23 | + | 1.48 | 2.48 | |
3/20 | H | Apopka | 22- | 0 | 22 | 24 | – | -1.48 | -2.31 | |
3/28 | H | Timber Creek | 14- | 4 | 10 | 10 | | -1.48 | -0.28 | |
4/02 | H | Lake Howell | 18- | 1 | 17 | 19 | – | -1.48 | -2.42 | |
4/04 | N | Oviedo | 24- | 5 | 19 | 15 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.43 | |
4/11 | A | Winter Springs | 10- | 5 | 5 | 4 | | 1.48 | 1.06 | |
4/18 | N | Winter Park | 11- | 2 | 9 | 4 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.79 | |
4/19 | N | Saint Andrews | 8- | 16 | -8 | -3 | –– | 0.00 | | -5.00 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -9.13 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/05 | H | University | 24- | 1 | 3.52 |
2/20 | H | Lake Mary | 16- | 3 | 0.09 |
2/27 | A | Hagerty | 16- | 0 | 3.31 |
3/05 | H | Lyman | 19- | 3 | 2.02 |
3/08 | H | Lake Howell | 19- | 2 | 2.42 |
3/14 | A | Oviedo | 24- | 3 | -7.91 |
3/15 | A | Episcopal Jacksonville | 18- | 3 | -2.51 |
3/19 | A | Seminole | 27- | 2 | -2.48 |
3/20 | H | Apopka | 22- | 0 | 2.31 |
3/28 | H | Timber Creek | 14- | 4 | 0.28 |
4/02 | H | Lake Howell | 18- | 1 | 2.42 |
4/04 | N | Oviedo | 24- | 5 | -4.43 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.05 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 96. | | Natl CCR Rank | 188 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 95.95 | | Natl Power Rank | 188 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 76.10 | | Natl SOS Rank | 858 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.10 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1614 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.85 | | W-L Pct Rank | 147 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 17-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 11.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 4-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 4.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 10-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 10.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.0 |
| 
