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Lafayette Lancers (19-2)

Conference: OSHL3Region: NY C Sec 3State: NYCoach: Mike Riese

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Lafayette (NY) Keeps Writing Impressive Script

In the movie Hoosiers, a small school in Indiana captures the state championship despite having only a handful of players at a school with little enrollment.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/03at Manlius-Pebble Hill (3-14)NY C Sec 381.1W15- 3 0.000  
4/05CHRISTIAN BROS (15-5)NY C Sec 395.810W17- 7 0.150  
4/08ONONDAGA CENTRAL (9-10)NY C Sec 390.9W9- 4 0.050  
4/10at Bishop Ludden (6-12)NY C Sec 388.3W21- 9 0.050  
4/12vs. Kinnelon # (11-8)NJ Grp-I97.5W8- 7ot0.225  
4/15at Tully (5-12)NY C Sec 388.4W14- 3 0.050  
4/17at Cazenovia Central (13-7)NY C Sec 394.3L8- 9 -0.325  
4/22SKANEATELES (17-6)NY C Sec 396.39W8- 7 0.175  
4/26WESTHILL (12-8)NY C Sec 393.8W11- 5 0.100  
4/28WATERTOWN IHC (11-9)NY C Sec 392.0W16- 5 0.100  
5/01JORDAN-ELBRIDGE (7-12)NY C Sec 389.9W14- 8 0.050  
5/03MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (3-14)NY C Sec 381.1W15- 2 0.000  
5/06at Onondaga Central (9-10)NY C Sec 390.9W13- 3 0.100  
5/08at Christian Bros (15-5)NY C Sec 395.810W15-10 0.200  
5/10PENN YAN (14-8)NY C Sec 595.0W16- 8 0.125  
5/12BISHOP LUDDEN (6-12)NY C Sec 388.3W13- 8 0.000  
5/15TULLY (5-12)NY C Sec 388.4W15- 4 0.000  
5/19at Marcellus (7-11)NY C Sec 390.8W15- 3 0.100  
5/27NOTRE DAME UTICA (3-8)NY C Sec 373.0W18- 0 0.000  
5/29WATERTOWN IHC (11-9)NY C Sec 392.0W11- 2 0.100  
5/31vs. Skaneateles # (17-6)NY C Sec 396.39L8- 9 -0.300  
# Neutral site 89.6     0.95  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/03AManlius-Pebble Hill15-312   15       –1.08       -2.65
4/05HChristian Bros17-710   4       ++-1.08       5.68
4/08HOnondaga Central9-45   8       –-1.08       -2.75
4/10ABishop Ludden21-912   8       +1.08       3.52
4/12NKinnelon8-71   1       0.00       0.24
4/15ATully14-311   8       +1.08       2.69
4/17ACazenovia Central8-9-1   3       –1.08       -3.99
4/22HSkaneateles8-71   3       –-1.08       -2.37
4/26HWesthill11-56   6       -1.08       0.23
4/28HWatertown IHC16-511   6       ++-1.08       4.97
5/01HJordan-Elbridge14-86   8       -1.08       -1.87
5/03HManlius-Pebble Hill15-213   17       –-1.08       -3.81
5/06AOnondaga Central13-310   6       ++1.08       4.41
5/08AChristian Bros15-105   2       +1.08       2.84
5/10HPenn Yan16-88   5       +-1.28       3.47
5/12HBishop Ludden13-85   11       ––-1.08       -5.63
5/15HTully15-411   10       -1.08       0.54
5/19AMarcellus15-312   6       +++1.08       6.37
5/27HNotre Dame Utica18-018   26       –––-1.08       -7.86
5/29HWatertown IHC11-29   6       +-1.08       2.97
5/31NSkaneateles8-9-1   2       –0.00       -3.29
         0.003.72

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03AManlius-Pebble Hill15-32.65
4/05HChristian Bros17-70.00
4/10ABishop Ludden21-9-2.00
4/15ATully14-3-1.00
4/28HWatertown IHC16-5-1.00
5/03HManlius-Pebble Hill15-23.81
5/06AOnondaga Central13-30.00
5/15HTully15-4-0.54
5/19AMarcellus15-3-2.00
5/27HNotre Dame Utica18-07.86
10-goal correction: 0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 194.   Natl CCR Rank 41
Natl Poll Vote 96.   Natl Poll Rank 42
Natl Power Rating 98.25   Natl Power Rank 54
Natl SOS Rating 85.78   Natl SOS Rank 218
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.95   Natl Quality Win Rank 269
W-L Pct Rating 0.90   W-L Pct Rank 70
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 8.7



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