| Region: VA Patriot | State: VA | Coach: Steve Price |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/14 | ROBINSON (8-7) | VA Concord | 93.5 | 6 | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.175 |
3/18 | at Douglas (16-2) | FL SFIA-2 | 88.9 | | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.275 |
3/19 | at Pine Crest (11-6) | FL Dist-11 | 75.6 | | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | at Ransom Everglades (9-6) | FL Dist-12 | 74.5 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/26 | at Hayfield (6-5) | VA Patriot | 89.3 | | W | 12- | 10 | | 0.250 |
3/28 | ANNANDALE (15-4) | VA Patriot | 93.4 | 7 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.225 |
4/04 | at T.C. Williams (3-10) | VA Patriot | 80.7 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.050 |
4/11 | at West Potomac (1-11) | VA Patriot | 77.7 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.025 |
4/15 | WEST SPRINGFIELD (7-6) | VA Patriot | 91.0 | 9 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.250 |
4/24 | ROBERT E LEE (2-10) | VA Patriot | 79.6 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/26 | vs. Dominion HS # (6-10) | VA Dulles | 81.3 | | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.025 |
4/29 | at South County (6-6) | VA Patriot | 89.6 | | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.250 |
5/01 | WEST POTOMAC (1-11) | VA Patriot | 77.7 | | W | 12- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | vs. South County # (6-6) | VA Patriot | 89.6 | | W | 8- | 7 | ot | 0.225 |
5/08 | vs. Annandale # (15-4) | VA Patriot | 93.4 | 7 | L | 6- | 7 | ot | -0.200 |
5/13 | MADISON (10-5) | VA Liberty | 94.2 | 4 | L | 10- | 16 | | -0.150 |
| # Neutral site | | 85.8 | | | | | | 0.05 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/14 | H | Robinson | 7- | 8 | -1 | -3 | + | -1.02 | 2.37 | |
3/18 | A | Douglas | 5- | 7 | -2 | 1 | – | 0.80 | | -2.54 |
3/19 | A | Pine Crest | 11- | 9 | 2 | 14 | ––– | 0.92 | | 11.80 |
3/20 | A | Ransom Everglades | 6- | 5 | 1 | 15 | ––– | 0.92 | | 13.85 |
3/26 | A | Hayfield | 12- | 10 | 2 | 0 | | 1.02 | 1.83 | |
3/28 | H | Annandale | 9- | 10 | -1 | -1 | | -1.02 | -0.43 | |
4/04 | A | T.C. Williams | 10- | 3 | 7 | 8 | | 1.02 | -1.15 | |
4/11 | A | West Potomac | 9- | 4 | 5 | 9 | –– | 1.02 | -4.32 | |
4/15 | H | West Springfield | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | -1.02 | 0.68 | |
4/24 | H | Robert E Lee | 12- | 3 | 9 | 11 | – | -1.02 | -2.01 | |
4/26 | N | Dominion HS | 8- | 5 | 3 | 9 | ––– | 0.00 | | -6.03 |
4/29 | A | South County | 9- | 5 | 4 | 0 | ++ | 1.02 | 4.22 | |
5/01 | H | West Potomac | 12- | 1 | 11 | 11 | | -1.02 | -0.36 | |
5/05 | N | South County | 8- | 7 | 1 | 1 | | 0.00 | 0.19 | |
5/08 | N | Annandale | 6- | 7 | -1 | -2 | | 0.00 | 0.59 | |
5/13 | H | Madison | 10- | 16 | -6 | -4 | | -1.02 | -1.61 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -34.22 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
5/01 | H | West Potomac | 12- | 1 | 0.36 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.02 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 90. | | Natl CCR Rank | 701 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.28 | | Natl Power Rank | 701 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 78.04 | | Natl SOS Rank | 669 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1230 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.69 | | W-L Pct Rank | 635 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.0 |
|
