| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Earl Brewer |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/27 | MARSHALL (0-12) | VA Liberty | 78.1 | | W | 16- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/28 | vs. Westminster # (11-5) | MD 43 North | 94.8 | | W | 5- | 3 | | 0.225 |
3/29 | at Wootton (16-2) | MD 43 West | 95.8 | | L | 4- | 5 | | -0.225 |
4/08 | MCLEAN (6-6) | VA Liberty | 89.1 | | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | STONE BRIDGE (4-10) | VA Liberty | 83.4 | | W | 16- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/12 | at Broadneck (10-6) | MD 43 East | 94.2 | | W | 10- | 9 | ot | 0.250 |
4/14 | at South Lakes (6-7) | VA Liberty | 87.7 | | W | 9- | 2 | | 0.050 |
4/17 | MADISON (10-5) | VA Liberty | 94.2 | 4 | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.200 |
4/24 | at Woodson (9-7) | VA Liberty | 93.4 | 8 | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.275 |
4/30 | LANDON (18-4) | DC IAC | 98.7 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.200 |
5/02 | THOS JEFFERSON (4-10) | VA Liberty | 87.0 | | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | MCLEAN (6-6) | VA Liberty | 89.1 | | W | 15- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | vs. Madison # (10-5) | VA Liberty | 94.2 | 4 | W | 14- | 10 | | 0.225 |
5/09 | vs. Woodson # (9-7) | VA Liberty | 93.4 | 8 | W | 8- | 3 | | 0.200 |
5/13 | at West Springfield (7-6) | VA Patriot | 91.0 | 9 | W | 11- | 2 | | 0.125 |
5/15 | OAKTON (13-8) | VA Concord | 94.5 | 3 | L | 5- | 6 | | -0.300 |
| # Neutral site | | 89.2 | | | | | | 0.27 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/27 | H | Marshall | 16- | 4 | 12 | 18 | –– | -1.02 | -5.55 | |
3/28 | N | Westminster | 5- | 3 | 2 | 1 | | 0.00 | | 1.41 |
3/29 | A | Wootton | 4- | 5 | -1 | -1 | | 0.98 | | 0.36 |
4/08 | H | McLean | 15- | 6 | 9 | 10 | | -1.02 | -1.17 | |
4/10 | H | Stone Bridge | 16- | 0 | 16 | 14 | | -1.02 | 1.51 | |
4/12 | A | Broadneck | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 0.98 | | 0.71 |
4/14 | A | South Lakes | 9- | 2 | 7 | 8 | | 1.02 | -1.35 | |
4/17 | H | Madison | 11- | 9 | 2 | 2 | | -1.02 | 0.05 | |
4/24 | A | Woodson | 9- | 11 | -2 | 1 | – | 1.02 | -3.23 | |
4/30 | H | Landon | 4- | 10 | -6 | -2 | – | -1.24 | | -3.94 |
5/02 | H | Thos Jefferson | 14- | 5 | 9 | 10 | | -1.02 | -1.41 | |
5/05 | H | McLean | 15- | 1 | 14 | 10 | + | -1.02 | 3.83 | |
5/07 | N | Madison | 14- | 10 | 4 | 1 | + | 0.00 | 3.08 | |
5/09 | N | Woodson | 8- | 3 | 5 | 2 | + | 0.00 | 2.74 | |
5/13 | A | West Springfield | 11- | 2 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 1.02 | 4.39 | |
5/15 | H | Oakton | 5- | 6 | -1 | 2 | – | -1.02 | -2.89 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -1.46 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/27 | H | Marshall | 16- | 4 | 5.55 |
4/10 | H | Stone Bridge | 16- | 0 | -1.51 |
5/05 | H | McLean | 15- | 1 | -3.83 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.01 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 96. | | Natl CCR Rank | 207 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 95.43 | | Natl Power Rank | 207 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 84.38 | | Natl SOS Rank | 276 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.27 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 915 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.75 | | W-L Pct Rank | 432 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 1.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 5.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.3 |
|
