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Lake Catholic Cougars (7-11)

Region: OH 4 North

State: OH

Coach: Kylke Oleksak

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	KENSTON (12-4)	OH 4 North	82.3	8	L	2-	9		-0.075
4/05	LAKE LC (8-7)	OH 4 North	81.1	10	L	2-	14		-0.075
4/09	WEST GEAUGA (3-11)	OH 2 Reg 1	78.0		L	9-	15		-0.275
4/12	GLASS CITY-WAYNE (2-8)	OH 4 North	77.0		W	7-	3		0.200
4/15	at Orange (6-3)	OH 4 North	80.4		L	5-	13		-0.100
4/16	at Mentor (4-10)	OH 1 Reg 3	81.9		L	1-	15		-0.100
4/22	at Stow Munroe Falls (0-11)	OH 4 North	75.5		W	12-	7		0.200
4/26	CLINTON COUNTY (0-11)	OH 4 South	73.9		W	11-	1		0.000
4/28	at Brecksville-Broadview (6-9)	OH 2 Reg 2	76.3		L	5-	10		-0.225
4/30	at Brunswick (5-9)	OH 4 North	78.2		L	7-	9		-0.150
5/06	at N-D Cathedral Latin (10-11)	OH 4 North	79.5		L	7-	14		-0.125
5/08	EASTLAKE NORTH (0-7)	OH 4 North	73.9		W	16-	3		0.000
5/12	at Stow Munroe Falls (0-11)	OH 4 North	75.5		W	11-	4		0.200
5/14	BRUNSWICK (5-9)	OH 4 North	78.2		W	6-	5		0.250
5/20	ORANGE (6-3)	OH 4 North	80.4		L	4-	13		-0.175
5/22	N-D CATHEDRAL LATIN (10-11)	OH 4 North	79.5		L	3-	10		-0.200
5/27	BIG WALNUT (2-10)	OH 4 North	77.1		W	6-	4		0.200
5/29	at Sylvania (17-2)	OH 4 North	91.5	1	L	1-	15		0.000
			72.5						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Kenston	2-	9	-7	-7		-1.73	-0.13
4/05	H	Lake LC	2-	14	-12	-7	––	-1.73	-4.50
4/09	H	West Geauga	9-	15	-6	1	–––	-1.74		-7.24
4/12	H	Glass City-Wayne	7-	3	4	2	+	-1.73	2.15
4/15	A	Orange	5-	13	-8	-6		1.73	-1.87
4/16	A	Mentor	1-	15	-14	-6	–––	1.50		-8.10
4/22	A	Stow Munroe Falls	12-	7	5	2	+	1.73	2.83
4/26	H	Clinton County	11-	1	10	12	–	-1.73	-2.31
4/28	A	Brecksville-Broadview	5-	10	-5	-1	––	1.74		-4.49
4/30	A	Brunswick	7-	9	-2	-4		1.73	1.77
5/06	A	N-D Cathedral Latin	7-	14	-7	-5		1.73	-1.82
5/08	H	Eastlake North	16-	3	13	13		-1.73	0.44
5/12	A	Stow Munroe Falls	11-	4	7	2	++	1.73	4.83
5/14	H	Brunswick	6-	5	1	0		-1.73	1.31
5/20	H	Orange	4-	13	-9	-3	–––	-1.73	-6.32
5/22	H	N-D Cathedral Latin	3-	10	-7	-2	––	-1.73	-5.28
5/27	H	Big Walnut	6-	4	2	2		-1.73	0.10
5/29	A	Sylvania	1-	15	-14	-23	+++	1.73	8.79
									0.00	-19.82

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Lake LC	2-	14	2.00
4/16	A	Mentor	1-	15	4.00
4/26	H	Clinton County	11-	1	2.31
5/08	H	Eastlake North	16-	3	-0.44
5/29	A	Sylvania	1-	15	-8.79
10-goal correction: -0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2052
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.50		Natl Power Rank	2052
Natl SOS Rating	54.36		Natl SOS Rank	2679
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	2287
W-L Pct Rating	0.39		W-L Pct Rank	1811
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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