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Central Catholic Raiders (13-8)

Conference: Merrimack

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Matt Velasquez

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	at Acton Boxborough (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		L	4-	8		-0.150
4/02	MALDEN CATHOLIC (10-9)	MA 1	93.1		L	5-	12		-0.225
4/07	TEWKSBURY MEMORIAL (10-9)	MA 2	91.7		W	10-	7		0.175
4/09	at Dracut (2-16)	MA 2	84.5		W	12-	8		0.100
4/12	at Lowell (14-7)	MA 1	93.2		L	6-	7		-0.175
4/14	at Westford Academy (7-10)	MA 1	91.9		W	8-	7		0.300
4/15	ANDOVER HS (14-6)	MA 1	94.8	8	L	7-	18		-0.100
4/19	at Chelmsford (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		L	5-	9		-0.175
4/21	at Burlington (7-11)	MA 2	90.8		W	10-	9		0.225
4/24	SALEM (2-15)	MA 1	80.7		W	19-	3		0.000
4/25	PENTUCKET (5-15)	MA 2	83.0		W	12-	6		0.000
4/27	HAVERHILL (7-10)	MA 1	89.7		W	14-	6		0.125
5/01	at Haverhill (7-10)	MA 1	89.7		W	13-	6		0.175
5/06	BILLERICA (17-5)	MA 1	96.4	4	L	7-	13		-0.025
5/10	LOWELL (14-7)	MA 1	93.2		L	9-	10		-0.250
5/12	at Triton-Byfield (8-9)	MA 2	89.8		W	8-	4		0.175
5/13	at Tewksbury Memorial (10-9)	MA 2	91.7		W	7-	4		0.250
5/19	DRACUT (2-16)	MA 2	84.5		W	12-	5		0.050
5/21	AUSTIN PREP (13-4)	MA 3	91.9		W	7-	6		0.175
5/27	at Martha's Vineyard (14-5)	MA 2	92.5		W	6-	5	ot	0.275
5/30	at Medfield (21-4)	MA 2	96.1	6	L	3-	13		-0.025
			85.1						0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	A	Acton Boxborough	4-	8	-4	-4		1.09	-0.15
4/02	H	Malden Catholic	5-	12	-7	-1	–––	-1.09	-6.07
4/07	H	Tewksbury Memorial	10-	7	3	3		-1.09	0.48
4/09	A	Dracut	12-	8	4	6	–	1.09	-2.05
4/12	A	Lowell	6-	7	-1	-3		1.09	1.54
4/14	A	Westford Academy	8-	7	1	-2	+	1.09	3.00
4/15	H	Andover HS	7-	18	-11	-6	––	-1.09	-5.41
4/19	A	Chelmsford	5-	9	-4	-3		1.09	-0.87
4/21	A	Burlington	10-	9	1	1		1.09	0.10
4/24	H	Salem	19-	3	16	12	+	-1.09	3.73
4/25	H	Pentucket	12-	6	6	11	––	-1.09	-5.17
4/27	H	Haverhill	14-	6	8	5	+	-1.09	3.17
5/01	A	Haverhill	13-	6	7	3	++	1.09	4.35
5/06	H	Billerica	7-	13	-6	-9	+	-1.09	2.52
5/10	H	Lowell	9-	10	-1	0		-1.09	-0.64
5/12	A	Triton-Byfield	8-	4	4	3		1.09	0.89
5/13	A	Tewksbury Memorial	7-	4	3	0	+	1.09	2.66
5/19	H	Dracut	12-	5	7	8		-1.09	-1.23
5/21	H	Austin Prep	7-	6	1	3	–	-1.09	-2.43
5/27	A	Martha's Vineyard	6-	5	1	-1	+	1.09	2.45
5/30	A	Medfield	3-	13	-10	-9		1.09	-0.89
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	H	Andover HS	7-	18	1.00
4/24	H	Salem	19-	3	-3.73
5/30	A	Medfield	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	449
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.76		Natl Power Rank	449
Natl SOS Rating	76.65		Natl SOS Rank	806
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	305
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	860
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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