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Lexington Christian Blue Crew (6-7)

Region: NE EIL

State: MA

Coach: Craig Pazckowski

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at Gann Academy (1-8)	NE Indep	73.6		W	8-	4		0.075
4/14	at Falmouth Academy (6-8)	NE SENE	81.9		L	5-	11		-0.250
4/16	BANCROFT (10-6)	NE EIL	86.5		L	6-	16		-0.125
4/23	at Concord Academy (1-10)	NE EIL	75.1		W	11-	7		0.125
4/25	at Waring (4-4)	NE East-2	80.7		W	7-	5		0.200
4/26	at Berwick (12-6)	NE EIL	90.6		L	6-	13		0.000
5/02	PORTSMOUTH ABBEY (14-2)	NE EIL	95.7		L	1-	14		0.000
5/03	at Tilton School (4-9)	NE North	87.9		L	0-	12		0.000
5/06	CHAPEL HILL CH (9-5)	NE EIL	85.3		W	10-	9		0.325
5/07	at Landmark School (1-11)	NE EIL	76.9		W	9-	7		0.175
5/12	at Bancroft (10-6)	NE EIL	86.5		L	7-	10		-0.100
5/14	PINGREE (15-6)	NE EIL	94.1		L	5-	16		0.000
5/16	BEAVER COUNTRY DAY (5-8)	NE EIL	80.4		W	13-	7		0.175
			80.7						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	Gann Academy	8-	4	4	7	–	0.34	-3.09
4/14	A	Falmouth Academy	5-	11	-6	0	––	0.34	-5.61
4/16	H	Bancroft	6-	16	-10	-5	––	-0.34	-4.79
4/23	A	Concord Academy	11-	7	4	5		0.34	-0.79
4/25	A	Waring	7-	5	2	2		0.34	0.48
4/26	A	Berwick	6-	13	-7	-10	+	0.34	3.39
5/02	H	Portsmouth Abbey	1-	14	-13	-14		-0.34	1.05
5/03	A	Tilton School	0-	12	-12	-11		0.34	-1.33
5/06	H	Chapel Hill CH	10-	9	1	-3	++	-0.34	4.36
5/07	A	Landmark School	9-	7	2	3		0.34	-1.29
5/12	A	Bancroft	7-	10	-3	-6	+	0.34	2.89
5/14	H	Pingree	5-	16	-11	-12		-0.34	1.23
5/16	H	Beaver Country Day	13-	7	6	3	+	-0.34	3.49
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	H	Bancroft	6-	16	0.00
5/02	H	Portsmouth Abbey	1-	14	-1.05
5/03	A	Tilton School	0-	12	1.33
5/14	H	Pingree	5-	16	-1.23
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1568
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.43		Natl Power Rank	1568
Natl SOS Rating	68.59		Natl SOS Rank	1618
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	539
W-L Pct Rating	0.46		W-L Pct Rank	1525
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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