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Lexington HS Minutemen (15-5)

Conference: Middlesex

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Dave Walsh

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Belmont (11-7)	MA 2	92.3		W	11-	8		0.150
4/03	WOBURN (8-10)	MA 1	89.8		W	12-	1		0.000
4/08	WINCHESTER (16-6)	MA 2	94.4		W	9-	7		0.200
4/11	at Reading Memorial (18-4)	MA 2	94.7	10	L	10-	11		-0.250
4/12	at Wakefield (3-15)	MA 2	87.0		W	11-	5		0.025
4/15	CONCORD CARLISLE (14-6)	MA 2	93.5		W	13-	6		0.150
4/21	XAVERIAN BROS (16-6)	MA 1	96.3	5	L	5-	9		-0.175
4/24	at Andover HS (14-6)	MA 1	94.8	8	W	8-	2		0.325
4/26	ACTON BOXBOROUGH (12-9)	MA 1	93.5		W	10-	7		0.175
4/29	BURLINGTON (7-11)	MA 2	90.8		W	15-	4		0.050
5/01	BELMONT (11-7)	MA 2	92.3		W	14-	3		0.100
5/03	at Woburn (8-10)	MA 1	89.8		W	8-	4		0.050
5/06	WAKEFIELD (3-15)	MA 2	87.0		W	10-	4		0.000
5/09	at Winchester (16-6)	MA 2	94.4		W	5-	4		0.250
5/13	READING MEMORIAL (18-4)	MA 2	94.7	10	L	8-	13		-0.300
5/16	at Waltham (13-8)	MA 1	93.8		L	10-	11		-0.225
5/19	at Burlington (7-11)	MA 2	90.8		W	13-	9		0.100
5/21	at Hingham (5-12)	MA 2	92.7		W	8-	7	ot	0.250
5/31	LOWELL (14-7)	MA 1	93.2		W	11-	5		0.150
6/04	at Billerica (17-5)	MA 1	96.4	4	L	10-	17		-0.100
			87.5						0.93

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Belmont	11-	8	3	4		1.09	-1.28
4/03	H	Woburn	12-	1	11	10		-1.09	0.68
4/08	H	Winchester	9-	7	2	2		-1.09	-0.17
4/11	A	Reading Memorial	10-	11	-1	0		1.09	-0.84
4/12	A	Wakefield	11-	5	6	9	–	1.09	-2.66
4/15	H	Concord Carlisle	13-	6	7	4	+	-1.09	2.89
4/21	H	Xaverian Bros	5-	9	-4	-3		-1.09	-0.84
4/24	A	Andover HS	8-	2	6	-3	+++	1.09	9.11
4/26	H	Acton Boxborough	10-	7	3	3		-1.09	0.01
4/29	H	Burlington	15-	4	11	8	+	-1.09	3.26
5/01	H	Belmont	14-	3	11	6	++	-1.09	4.54
5/03	A	Woburn	8-	4	4	8	––	1.09	-4.14
5/06	H	Wakefield	10-	4	6	11	––	-1.09	-4.84
5/09	A	Winchester	5-	4	1	0		1.09	1.01
5/13	H	Reading Memorial	8-	13	-5	2	–––	-1.09	-7.02
5/16	A	Waltham	10-	11	-1	-1		1.09	-0.32
5/19	A	Burlington	13-	9	4	6		1.09	-1.56
5/21	A	Hingham	8-	7	1	0		1.09	1.43
5/31	H	Lowell	11-	5	6	4		-1.09	1.70
6/04	A	Billerica	10-	17	-7	-6		1.09	-0.96
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Woburn	12-	1	-0.68
4/29	H	Burlington	15-	4	-1.00
5/01	H	Belmont	14-	3	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	261
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.81		Natl Power Rank	261
Natl SOS Rating	81.28		Natl SOS Rank	444
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.93		Natl Quality Win Rank	281
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	408
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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