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Lafayette Lancers (13-8)

Region: MO Patrt-1

State: MO

Coach: Ren Pettinelli

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	at Kirkwood (5-12)	MO Patrt-1	85.7		W	12-	7		0.125
3/14	at Friends (4-12)	MD A MIAA	87.5		L	3-	11		-0.325
3/15	at Key School (4-11)	MD B MIAA	79.3		L	9-	11		-0.500
3/16	at South-Western (11-6)	PA York 1	89.1		L	8-	12		-0.300
3/28	GRAYSLAKE CENTRAL (4-13)	IL NorSub	80.4		W	10-	2		0.000
3/29	SPRINGFIELD-GLENDALE (9-7)	MO Amerc-2	82.6		W	16-	3		0.000
4/02	at Vianney Marianist (2-14)	MO Patrt-1	82.3		W	13-	1		0.050
4/07	at Parkway South (1-13)	MO Patrt-1	79.0		W	18-	2		0.000
4/11	vs. St Joseph-South Bend # (15-4)	IN ICC	90.6		W	11-	4		0.225
4/15	CHRISTIAN BROS (11-8)	MO Patrt-1	91.2	8	L	6-	9		-0.300
4/17	at Wentzville (7-9)	MO Natnl-2	80.5		W	18-	2		0.000
4/18	LINDBERGH (6-12)	MO Patrt-1	85.3		W	6-	1		0.075
4/22	ST LOUIS UNIV JESUIT (18-5)	MO Indep-1	94.8	3	W	9-	6		0.275
4/23	at Chaminade Prep (4-9)	MO Indep-1	85.8		W	14-	2		0.100
4/26	at DeSmet Jesuit (11-7)	MO Patrt-1	92.7	4	L	4-	12		-0.250
4/29	ROCKHURST JESUIT (18-8)	MO Indep-1	96.4	2	L	5-	14		-0.150
5/02	MICDS (14-3)	MO Indep-1	96.6	1	L	4-	6		-0.225
5/06	at Parkway West (12-8)	MO Indep-1	91.6	6	W	14-	7		0.250
5/09	at Columbia Hickman (8-8)	MO Indep-1	89.7	9	W	4-	2		0.175
5/12	PARKWAY CENTRAL (5-9)	MO Indep-1	88.2	10	W	8-	7		0.125
5/16	at DeSmet Jesuit (11-7)	MO Patrt-1	92.7	4	L	5-	8		-0.250
# Neutral site			86.6						-0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	A	Kirkwood	12-	7	5	5		0.79	0.42
3/14	A	Friends	3-	11	-8	3	–––	1.12		11.05
3/15	A	Key School	9-	11	-2	11	–––	1.09		13.23
3/16	A	South-Western	8-	12	-4	2	–––	0.53		-6.06
3/28	H	Grayslake Central	10-	2	8	12	––	-0.93		-4.19
3/29	H	Springfield-Glendale	16-	3	13	13		-0.79	0.27
4/02	A	Vianney Marianist	13-	1	12	8	++	0.79	4.17
4/07	A	Parkway South	18-	2	16	14	+	0.79	2.30
4/11	N	St Joseph-South Bend	11-	4	7	1	++	0.00		5.90
4/15	H	Christian Bros	6-	9	-3	2	––	-0.79	-5.21
4/17	A	Wentzville	18-	2	16	12	++	0.79	4.06
4/18	H	Lindbergh	6-	1	5	7	–	-0.79	-2.23
4/22	H	St Louis Univ Jesuit	9-	6	3	-1	++	-0.79	4.42
4/23	A	Chaminade Prep	14-	2	12	6	++	0.79	5.91
4/26	A	DeSmet Jesuit	4-	12	-8	0	–––	0.79	-7.72
4/29	H	Rockhurst Jesuit	5-	14	-9	-4	––	-0.79	-4.77
5/02	H	MICDS	4-	6	-2	-1		-0.79	-1.25
5/06	A	Parkway West	14-	7	7	0	+++	0.79	7.29
5/09	A	Columbia Hickman	4-	2	2	3		0.79	-1.43
5/12	H	Parkway Central	8-	7	1	5	–	-0.79	-3.51
5/16	A	DeSmet Jesuit	5-	8	-3	0	–	0.79	-2.72
									0.00	-28.64

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Springfield-Glendale	16-	3	-0.27
4/02	A	Vianney Marianist	13-	1	-2.00
4/07	A	Parkway South	18-	2	-2.30
4/17	A	Wentzville	18-	2	-4.06
4/23	A	Chaminade Prep	14-	2	-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.51

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	539
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.66		Natl Power Rank	539
Natl SOS Rating	79.20		Natl SOS Rank	589
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	2737
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	862
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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