| Region: MD 21 West | State: MD | Coach: Mike Flemming |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/25 | FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (5-9) | MD 32 West | 85.6 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.150 |
4/01 | LINGANORE (3-9) | MD 43 North | 86.3 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.225 |
4/03 | NORTH CARROLL (8-6) | MD 43 North | 94.3 | | L | 8- | 11 | | -0.125 |
4/08 | at Brunswick (2-11) | MD 21 West | 80.4 | | W | 12- | 1 | | 0.125 |
4/10 | at Urbana (16-2) | MD 43 North | 97.4 | 2 | L | 8- | 12 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | at North Harford (3-12) | MD 32 North | 86.6 | | W | 15- | 12 | | 0.225 |
4/15 | CATOCTIN (3-11) | MD 21 West | 78.5 | | W | 13- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/22 | SMITHSBURG (9-6) | MD 21 West | 89.1 | | L | 11- | 12 | | -0.275 |
4/24 | at South Carroll (11-5) | MD 21 West | 94.4 | | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.075 |
4/29 | at Winters Mill (10-8) | MD 32 West | 91.8 | | L | 10- | 11 | | -0.200 |
5/02 | CENTURY (12-6) | MD 21 West | 93.8 | | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.175 |
5/05 | WESTMINSTER (11-5) | MD 43 North | 94.8 | | L | 6- | 17 | | -0.100 |
5/08 | BRUNSWICK (2-11) | MD 21 West | 80.4 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.075 |
5/10 | at Glenelg HS (18-0) | MD 21 West | 96.9 | 4 | L | 4- | 16 | | -0.025 |
| | 85.8 | | | | | | -0.17 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/25 | H | Francis Scott Key | 6- | 5 | 1 | 4 | – | -0.93 | -2.68 | |
4/01 | H | Linganore | 9- | 6 | 3 | 1 | | -0.93 | 1.58 | |
4/03 | H | North Carroll | 8- | 11 | -3 | -5 | | -0.93 | 1.86 | |
4/08 | A | Brunswick | 12- | 1 | 11 | 5 | ++ | 0.93 | 5.60 | |
4/10 | A | Urbana | 8- | 12 | -4 | -14 | +++ | 0.93 | 10.05 | |
4/14 | A | North Harford | 15- | 12 | 3 | 1 | | 0.93 | 1.95 | |
4/15 | H | Catoctin | 13- | 2 | 11 | 10 | | -0.93 | 0.81 | |
4/22 | H | Smithsburg | 11- | 12 | -1 | 1 | | -0.93 | -2.00 | |
4/24 | A | South Carroll | 6- | 15 | -9 | -7 | – | 0.93 | -2.05 | |
4/29 | A | Winters Mill | 10- | 11 | -1 | -2 | | 0.93 | 1.45 | |
5/02 | H | Century | 4- | 12 | -8 | -3 | –– | -0.93 | -5.08 | |
5/05 | H | Westminster | 6- | 17 | -11 | -6 | –– | -0.93 | -4.74 | |
5/08 | H | Brunswick | 11- | 7 | 4 | 7 | – | -0.93 | -3.26 | |
5/10 | A | Glenelg HS | 4- | 16 | -12 | -9 | – | 0.93 | -3.49 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/08 | A | Brunswick | 12- | 1 | -1.00 |
4/15 | H | Catoctin | 13- | 2 | -0.81 |
5/05 | H | Westminster | 6- | 17 | 1.00 |
5/10 | A | Glenelg HS | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.08 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 89. | | Natl CCR Rank | 869 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 88.81 | | Natl Power Rank | 869 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 78.04 | | Natl SOS Rank | 669 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.17 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1762 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.43 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1664 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -6.3 |
|
