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Lick-Wilmerding Tigers (12-5)

Conference: D1

Region: CA BayArea

State: CA

Coach: John Hutchinson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/29	vs. Cardinal Newman # (13-3)	CA BayArea	90.5		L	4-	9		-0.150
3/06	BRANSON (9-7)	CA Marin	88.4		L	12-	15		-0.200
3/10	at Sonoma Academy (7-10)	CA BayArea	77.7		W	7-	5		0.050
3/12	TAMALPAIS (7-12)	CA Marin	84.8		L	3-	8		-0.250
3/19	SAINT MARY'S (5-10)	CA BayShor	82.8		L	4-	9		-0.275
3/24	SAN RAFAEL (5-12)	CA Marin	82.5		W	2-	1		0.175
3/26	at San Marin (4-12)	CA Marin	83.6		W	7-	6		0.275
3/27	MARIN ACADEMY (3-13)	CA BayArea	72.2		W	14-	4		0.000
4/04	STUART HALL (0-10)	CA BayArea	67.0		W	14-	0		0.000
4/16	UNIVERSITY SF (13-10)	CA BayArea	91.2		W	3-	2	ot	0.375
4/18	at Cardinal Newman (13-3)	CA BayArea	90.5		W	9-	8		0.350
4/22	BERKELEY (6-12)	CA BayShor	87.4		W	7-	6	ot	0.350
4/25	at Stuart Hall (0-10)	CA BayArea	67.0		W	15-	0		0.000
4/28	at Marin Academy (3-13)	CA BayArea	72.2		W	18-	1		0.000
4/30	SONOMA ACADEMY (7-10)	CA BayArea	77.7		W	13-	2		0.025
5/06	SONOMA ACADEMY (7-10)	CA BayArea	77.7		W	9-	2		0.025
5/08	vs. University SF # (13-10)	CA BayArea	91.2		L	4-	14		-0.125
# Neutral site			75.5						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/29	N	Cardinal Newman	4-	9	-5	-4		0.00	-1.25
3/06	H	Branson	12-	15	-3	-2		-0.66	-0.52
3/10	A	Sonoma Academy	7-	5	2	8	––	0.66	-5.56
3/12	H	Tamalpais	3-	8	-5	0	––	-0.66	-4.94
3/19	H	Saint Mary's	4-	9	-5	1	–––	-0.66	-6.18
3/24	H	San Rafael	2-	1	1	3		-0.66	-1.57
3/26	A	San Marin	7-	6	1	-1	+	0.66	2.01
3/27	H	Marin Academy	14-	4	10	11		-0.66	-1.32
4/04	H	Stuart Hall	14-	0	14	15		-0.66	-0.73
4/16	H	University SF	3-	2	1	-5	++	-0.66	5.65
4/18	A	Cardinal Newman	9-	8	1	-4	++	0.66	5.41
4/22	H	Berkeley	7-	6	1	-4	++	-0.66	4.86
4/25	A	Stuart Hall	15-	0	15	13		0.66	1.59
4/28	A	Marin Academy	18-	1	17	10	+++	0.66	7.00
4/30	H	Sonoma Academy	13-	2	11	9	+	-0.66	2.13
5/06	H	Sonoma Academy	9-	2	7	9		-0.66	-1.87
5/08	N	University SF	4-	14	-10	-5	––	0.00	-4.69
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Marin Academy	14-	4	1.32
4/04	H	Stuart Hall	14-	0	0.73
4/25	A	Stuart Hall	15-	0	-1.59
4/28	A	Marin Academy	18-	1	-7.00
4/30	H	Sonoma Academy	13-	2	-1.00
5/08	N	University SF	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.44

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1106
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.56		Natl Power Rank	1106
Natl SOS Rating	59.74		Natl SOS Rank	2398
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	515
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	552
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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