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Long Island Lutheran Crusaders (5-13)

Region: NY MLA

State: NY

Coach: James Sweeney

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	at Roslyn (4-12)	NY B Sec 8	80.5		L	3-	13		-0.125
3/27	at Wheatley (3-12)	NY C Sec 8	77.1		L	1-	9		-0.225
3/29	vs. Roslyn # (4-12)	NY B Sec 8	80.5		L	2-	11		-0.150
4/03	at Mineola (8-8)	NY C Sec 8	85.3		L	1-	13		0.000
4/08	ELMONT (6-10)	NY A Sec 8	80.6		L	4-	11		-0.175
4/11	ST MARY'S (3-12)	NY Cath	81.3		L	3-	10		-0.150
4/12	at Masters Dobbs Ferry (2-11)	NY MLA	73.5		W	8-	5		0.175
4/15	WEST HEMPSTEAD (0-16)	NY B Sec 8	71.8		W	9-	7		0.100
4/19	at St Joseph By-The-Sea (2-16)	NY Cathlc	75.1		W	7-	6		0.225
4/21	DALTON (2-14)	NY Ivy	78.0		W	7-	6	3ot	0.225
4/25	vs. Rye Country Day # (8-10)	NE 2 FAA	85.8		L	7-	17		-0.025
4/26	vs. Glen Cove # (7-9)	NY B Sec 8	83.7		L	5-	18		-0.075
4/30	MASTERS DOBBS FERRY (2-11)	NY MLA	73.5		W	11-	5		0.075
5/02	ST FRANCIS PREP (13-7)	NY Cathlc	87.6	7	L	7-	13		-0.075
5/07	PORTLEDGE (14-4)	NY MLA	89.1	3	L	3-	19		-0.025
5/10	at Midwood (16-5)	NY PSAL	84.7	10	L	6-	7		-0.100
5/12	ELMONT (6-10)	NY A Sec 8	80.6		L	11-	18		-0.175
5/15	at Fordham Prep (14-11)	NY Cathlc	88.7	4	L	2-	11		0.000
# Neutral site			81.3						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Roslyn	3-	13	-10	-5	––	1.24		-5.14
3/27	A	Wheatley	1-	9	-8	-1	–––	1.24		-6.54
3/29	N	Roslyn	2-	11	-9	-4	––	0.00		-5.38
4/03	A	Mineola	1-	13	-12	-10	–	1.24		-2.38
4/08	H	Elmont	4-	11	-7	-3	––	-1.24		-4.47
4/11	H	St Mary's	3-	10	-7	-4	–	-0.90		-3.49
4/12	A	Masters Dobbs Ferry	8-	5	3	3		1.80	-0.22
4/15	H	West Hempstead	9-	7	2	6	––	-1.24		-4.29
4/19	A	St Joseph By-The-Sea	7-	6	1	1		1.80	0.36
4/21	H	Dalton	7-	6	1	1		-1.80	0.46
4/25	N	Rye Country Day	7-	17	-10	-9		0.00		-1.05
4/26	N	Glen Cove	5-	18	-13	-7	–––	0.00		-6.19
4/30	H	Masters Dobbs Ferry	11-	5	6	7		-1.80	-0.82
5/02	H	St Francis Prep	7-	13	-6	-7		-1.80	0.63
5/07	H	Portledge	3-	19	-16	-9	–––	-1.80	-7.09
5/10	A	Midwood	6-	7	-1	-6	++	1.80	4.63
5/12	H	Elmont	11-	18	-7	-3	––	-1.24		-4.47
5/15	A	Fordham Prep	2-	11	-9	-11	+	1.80	2.04
									0.00	-43.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	A	Roslyn	3-	13	0.00
4/03	A	Mineola	1-	13	2.00
4/25	N	Rye Country Day	7-	17	0.00
4/26	N	Glen Cove	5-	18	3.00
5/07	H	Portledge	3-	19	6.00
10-goal correction: 0.61

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2131
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.88		Natl Power Rank	2131
Natl SOS Rating	69.67		Natl SOS Rank	1506
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2295
W-L Pct Rating	0.28		W-L Pct Rank	2167
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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