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Lincoln Cardinals (20-2)

Region: OR Columb

State: OR

Coach: Will Harris

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	at Issaquah (23-1)	WA 1 Div-1	96.7		L	5-	10		-0.175
3/09	at Garfield (7-9)	WA 1 Div-1	86.5		W	15-	6		0.050
3/12	at Sunset (16-4)	OR Metro	93.0	4	W	13-	6		0.200
3/18	at West Linn (11-9)	OR Rivers	90.3	10	W	12-	6		0.100
3/27	vs. University SF # (13-10)	CA BayArea	91.2		W	15-	6		0.150
3/28	vs. Monte Vista/Danville # (11-10)	CA EastBay	91.5		W	7-	6		0.150
3/29	vs. Bellarmine Prep # (17-5)	CA PAL	93.3		W	17-	16		0.200
4/10	GRANT (10-8)	OR Columb	90.1		W	17-	2		0.025
4/14	HOOD RIVER (14-8)	OR Columb	91.6	7	W	19-	10		0.075
4/17	WILSON (6-10)	OR Columb	87.7		W	15-	6		0.000
4/22	CLEVELAND (1-14)	OR Columb	73.8		W	15-	0		0.000
4/25	OREGON EPISCOPAL (16-4)	OR Columb	93.6	2	L	8-	11		-0.350
4/29	at Grant (10-8)	OR Columb	90.1		W	13-	4		0.050
5/01	at Hood River (14-8)	OR Columb	91.6	7	W	19-	7		0.100
5/06	at Wilson (6-10)	OR Columb	87.7		W	21-	6		0.025
5/08	at Cleveland (1-14)	OR Columb	73.8		W	18-	0		0.000
5/13	at Oregon Episcopal (16-4)	OR Columb	93.6	2	W	8-	7		0.200
5/16	CENTURY (7-8)	OR NoWest	87.0		W	13-	3		0.000
5/20	at Churchill (13-5)	OR Willim	88.2		W	12-	3		0.000
5/22	at Sunset (16-4)	OR Metro	93.0	4	W	13-	10		0.200
5/28	vs. Hood River # (14-8)	OR Columb	91.6	7	W	13-	5		0.100
5/31	vs. Oregon Episcopal # (16-4)	OR Columb	93.6	2	W	6-	5		1.175
# Neutral site			86.6						2.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	A	Issaquah	5-	10	-5	-3	–	0.95		-2.45
3/09	A	Garfield	15-	6	9	8		0.95		1.36
3/12	A	Sunset	13-	6	7	2	++	0.83	4.50
3/18	A	West Linn	12-	6	6	6		0.83	0.34
3/27	N	University SF	15-	6	9	4	++	0.00		5.12
3/28	N	Monte Vista/Danville	7-	6	1	4	–	0.00		-2.58
3/29	N	Bellarmine Prep	17-	16	1	2		0.00		-0.72
4/10	H	Grant	17-	2	15	9	++	-0.83	5.66
4/14	H	Hood River	19-	10	9	7		-0.83	1.77
4/17	H	Wilson	15-	6	9	10		-0.83	-1.47
4/22	H	Cleveland	15-	0	15	24	–––	-0.83	-8.81
4/25	H	Oregon Episcopal	8-	11	-3	4	–––	-0.83	-6.87
4/29	A	Grant	13-	4	9	8		0.83	1.32
5/01	A	Hood River	19-	7	12	6	+++	0.83	6.43
5/06	A	Wilson	21-	6	15	9	+++	0.83	6.19
5/08	A	Cleveland	18-	0	18	22	––	0.83	-4.15
5/13	A	Oregon Episcopal	8-	7	1	2		0.83	-1.20
5/16	H	Century	13-	3	10	12	–	-0.83	-2.02
5/20	A	Churchill	12-	3	9	11		0.83	-1.76
5/22	A	Sunset	13-	10	3	2		0.83	0.50
5/28	N	Hood River	13-	5	8	6		0.00	1.60
5/31	N	Oregon Episcopal	6-	5	1	3	–	0.00	-2.04
									0.00	0.72

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	Grant	17-	2	-5.00
4/22	H	Cleveland	15-	0	8.81
5/01	A	Hood River	19-	7	-2.00
5/06	A	Wilson	21-	6	-5.00
5/08	A	Cleveland	18-	0	4.15
5/16	H	Century	13-	3	2.02
10-goal correction: 0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	95.		Natl CCR Rank	245
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.05		Natl Power Rank	245
Natl SOS Rating	79.84		Natl SOS Rank	547
Natl Quality Win Rating	2.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	27
W-L Pct Rating	0.91		W-L Pct Rank	64
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	20-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	4.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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