Elizabethtown Bears (3-11)

Region: PA LL04State: PA

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/20at Palmyra (9-9)PA Mid 183.1L3- 5 -0.175  
4/01CONESTOGA VALLEY (4-15)PA LL0482.1L8-11 -0.200  
4/03WARWICK (17-6)PA LL0493.43L4-12 0.000  
4/08at Lancaster Cou Day (12-3)PA LL0487.1L2- 6 -0.100  
4/11at Cocalico (9-6)PA LL0487.7L5-14 -0.075  
4/15at Ephrata (8-12)PA LL0482.6L5- 9 -0.175  
4/22at Manheim Township (19-9)PA LL0494.92L2-15 0.000  
4/25at Central Dauphin East (0-14)PA Mid 171.9W10- 6 0.050  
5/01LAMPETER-STRASBURG (18-7)PA LL0491.76L5-18 0.000  
5/06at Harrisburg Academy (1-14)PA Mid 174.9W11- 7 0.150  
5/08HEMPFIELD (13-12)PA LL0492.25L2-13 0.000  
5/09at Penn Manor (12-9)PA LL0489.58L1- 8 -0.025  
5/13LOWER DAUPHIN (6-10)PA Mid 181.3L5- 6 -0.225  
5/17LEWISBURG (10-8)PA CSNLL79.3W5- 3 0.175  
 85.3     -0.60  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/20APalmyra3-5-2   -3       0.28       1.04
4/01HConestoga Valley8-11-3   -2       -0.28       -0.52
4/03HWarwick4-12-8   -11       +-0.28       3.33
4/08ALancaster Cou Day2-6-4   -6       +0.28       2.27
4/11ACocalico5-14-9   -7       –0.28       -2.44
4/15AEphrata5-9-4   -3       0.28       -1.48
4/22AManheim Township2-15-13   -14       0.28       0.58
4/25ACentral Dauphin East10-64   8       –0.28       -3.80
5/01HLampeter-Strasburg5-18-13   -11       -0.28       -1.90
5/06AHarrisburg Academy11-74   4       0.28       0.01
5/08HHempfield2-13-11   -14       +-0.28       2.61
5/09APenn Manor1-8-7   -9       0.28       1.99
5/13HLower Dauphin5-6-1   -1       -0.28       -0.22
5/17HLewisburg5-32   3       -0.28       -1.49
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/22AManheim Township2-15-0.58
5/01HLampeter-Strasburg5-181.90
5/08HHempfield2-13-2.61
10-goal correction: -0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 79.   Natl CCR Rank 1896
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 79.06   Natl Power Rank 1896
Natl SOS Rating 77.58   Natl SOS Rank 706
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.60   Natl Quality Win Rank 2456
W-L Pct Rating 0.21   W-L Pct Rank 2329
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 3-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -10.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -10.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -7.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.0



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