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Lake City Timberwolves (13-3)

Region: ID North

State: ID

Coach: Dwight Emmons

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/15	at Mercer Island (17-8)	WA 1 Div-1	91.2		L	3-	15		0.000
3/16	vs. Bainbridge Island # (20-3)	WA 1 Div-1	95.8		L	4-	16		0.000
4/08	SANDPOINT (2-7)	ID North	61.6		W	19-	2		0.000
4/11	LOGOS (9-4)	ID North	72.0	8	W	11-	6		0.075
4/15	at Gonzaga Prep (2-8)	ID North	63.9		W	11-	3		0.050
4/18	BONNER'S FERRY (1-9)	ID North	55.2		W	14-	0		0.000
4/22	at Lakeland (2-2)	ID North	69.1	10	W	17-	8		0.125
4/25	COEUR D'ALENE (6-5)	ID North	68.6		W	11-	5		0.025
4/29	at Sandpoint (2-7)	ID North	61.6		W	13-	5		0.000
5/02	at Coeur d'Alene (6-5)	ID North	68.6		W	13-	4		0.100
5/06	GONZAGA PREP (2-8)	ID North	63.9		W	12-	2		0.000
5/08	at Logos (9-4)	ID North	72.0	8	W	13-	7		0.150
5/12	at Bonner's Ferry (1-9)	ID North	55.2		W	17-	1		0.000
5/13	GONZAGA PREP (2-8)	ID North	63.9		W	17-	4		0.000
5/15	LOGOS (9-4)	ID North	72.0	8	W	14-	5		1.075
5/24	vs. Centennial # (18-0)	ID South	89.0	1	L	7-	13		-0.100
# Neutral site			76.6						1.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/15	A	Mercer Island	3-	15	-12	-13		1.27		1.40
3/16	N	Bainbridge Island	4-	16	-12	-17	++	0.00		4.79
4/08	H	Sandpoint	19-	2	17	14	+	-1.48	2.96
4/11	H	Logos	11-	6	5	7		-1.48	-2.00
4/15	A	Gonzaga Prep	11-	3	8	8		1.48	-0.39
4/18	H	Bonner's Ferry	14-	0	14	20	––	-1.48	-5.73
4/22	A	Lakeland	17-	8	9	5	+	1.48	3.86
4/25	H	Coeur d'Alene	11-	5	6	9	–	-1.48	-2.55
4/29	A	Sandpoint	13-	5	8	11	–	1.48	-3.07
5/02	A	Coeur d'Alene	13-	4	9	6	+	1.48	3.42
5/06	H	Gonzaga Prep	12-	2	10	11		-1.48	-1.36
5/08	A	Logos	13-	7	6	4		1.48	1.97
5/12	A	Bonner's Ferry	17-	1	16	17		1.48	-0.76
5/13	H	Gonzaga Prep	17-	4	13	11		-1.48	1.64
5/15	H	Logos	14-	5	9	7	+	-1.48	2.00
5/24	N	Centennial	7-	13	-6	-6		0.00	0.00
									0.00	6.19

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	A	Mercer Island	3-	15	-1.40
3/16	N	Bainbridge Island	4-	16	-4.79
4/08	H	Sandpoint	19-	2	-2.96
4/18	H	Bonner's Ferry	14-	0	5.73
5/06	H	Gonzaga Prep	12-	2	1.36
5/12	A	Bonner's Ferry	17-	1	0.76
5/13	H	Gonzaga Prep	17-	4	-1.64
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1883
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.04		Natl Power Rank	1883
Natl SOS Rating	62.08		Natl SOS Rank	2244
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	102
W-L Pct Rating	0.81		W-L Pct Rank	245
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	4.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	8.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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