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Lakota West Firebirds (6-10)

Region: OH 1 Reg 4

State: OH

Coach: Dave Reed

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Cincinnati Sycamore (19-4)	OH 1 Reg 4	95.5	10	L	3-	18		0.000
4/04	FENWICK (9-5)	OH 2 Reg 4	86.2		W	12-	8		0.175
4/11	LOVELAND (19-5)	OH 2 Reg 4	90.2		L	8-	10		-0.225
4/18	at Summit Country Day (4-14)	OH 2 Reg 4	82.0		W	20-	3		0.150
4/19	at Toledo St John's (12-8)	OH 1 Reg 1	91.8		L	7-	12		-0.100
4/23	MASON (10-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	88.9		L	7-	8	ot	-0.250
4/25	MARIEMONT (13-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	90.8		L	6-	13		-0.225
4/30	at Cincinnati Indian Hill (11-7)	OH 1 Reg 4	94.0		W	9-	8		0.500
5/02	CINCINNATI SYCAMORE (19-4)	OH 1 Reg 4	95.5	10	L	8-	20		-0.025
5/07	CINCINNATI ST XAVIER (14-8)	OH 1 Reg 4	95.7	9	L	8-	18		-0.025
5/09	KINGS (3-11)	OH 1 Reg 4	82.5		W	13-	4		0.125
5/10	at Lakota East (0-11)	OH 1 Reg 4	78.4		W	13-	5		0.050
5/14	at Little Miami (14-5)	OH 4 South	83.6		W	21-	8		0.175
5/16	TURPIN (10-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	87.2		L	9-	11		-0.300
5/21	ARCHBISHOP MOELLER (13-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	96.3	8	L	6-	20		-0.025
5/24	at Cincinnati Sycamore (19-4)	OH 1 Reg 4	95.5	10	L	2-	15		0.000
			85.9						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Cincinnati Sycamore	3-	18	-15	-11	–	1.28	-3.79
4/04	H	Fenwick	12-	8	4	3		-1.51		0.83
4/11	H	Loveland	8-	10	-2	-1		-1.51		-1.18
4/18	A	Summit Country Day	20-	3	17	4	+++	1.51		12.64
4/19	A	Toledo St John's	7-	12	-5	-6		1.28	1.46
4/23	H	Mason	7-	8	-1	0		-1.28	-1.15
4/25	H	Mariemont	6-	13	-7	-1	––	-1.51		-5.53
4/30	A	Cincinnati Indian Hill	9-	8	1	-10	+++	1.28	11.39
5/02	H	Cincinnati Sycamore	8-	20	-12	-9	–	-1.28	-3.34
5/07	H	Cincinnati St Xavier	8-	18	-10	-9		-1.28	-1.46
5/09	H	Kings	13-	4	9	5	+	-1.28	3.52
5/10	A	Lakota East	13-	5	8	8		1.28	-0.10
5/14	A	Little Miami	21-	8	13	3	+++	1.50		10.24
5/16	H	Turpin	9-	11	-2	2	––	-1.51		-4.12
5/21	H	Archbishop Moeller	6-	20	-14	-9	––	-1.28	-4.73
5/24	A	Cincinnati Sycamore	2-	15	-13	-11		1.28	-1.79
									0.00	12.89

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Cincinnati Sycamore	3-	18	3.79
4/18	A	Summit Country Day	20-	3	-7.00
5/02	H	Cincinnati Sycamore	8-	20	2.00
5/07	H	Cincinnati St Xavier	8-	18	0.00
5/14	A	Little Miami	21-	8	-3.00
5/21	H	Archbishop Moeller	6-	20	4.00
5/24	A	Cincinnati Sycamore	2-	15	1.79
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	1000
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.84		Natl Power Rank	1000
Natl SOS Rating	77.77		Natl SOS Rank	692
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	1320
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1868
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.7


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