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Lancaster Cou Day Cougars (12-3)

Region: PA LL04

State: PA

Coach: Rob Umble

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/18	at Governor Mifflin (11-8)	PA Berks	76.8		W	16-	2		0.000
3/20	at Bishop McDevitt (4-12)	PA Mid 1	78.5		W	13-	1		0.075
3/27	at Dallastown (6-7)	PA York 1	81.5		W	13-	4		0.100
4/01	LOWER DAUPHIN (6-10)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	11-	3		0.125
4/03	at Cocalico (9-6)	PA LL04	87.7		L	8-	12		-0.225
4/05	MORAVIAN ACADEMY (11-7)	PA PVLL-LV	91.4		L	2-	4		-0.150
4/08	ELIZABETHTOWN (3-11)	PA LL04	79.1		W	6-	2		0.100
4/12	at Wyomissing (8-10)	PA Berks	74.3		W	16-	1		0.000
4/15	at Spring Grove (10-6)	PA York 1	83.9		W	11-	8		0.175
4/22	CENTRAL YORK (8-7)	PA York 1	83.7		W	7-	3		0.150
4/25	HARRISBURG ACADEMY (1-14)	PA Mid 1	74.9		W	16-	5		0.000
4/29	EPHRATA (8-12)	PA LL04	82.6		L	10-	11	ot	-0.350
5/01	at Harrisburg Academy (1-14)	PA Mid 1	74.9		W	10-	3		0.000
5/06	EPHRATA (8-12)	PA LL04	82.6		W	13-	9		0.150
5/08	CENTRAL DAUPHIN (7-9)	PA Mid 1	82.6		W	7-	5		0.150
			80.6						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/18	A	Governor Mifflin	16-	2	14	11	+	0.28	3.46
3/20	A	Bishop McDevitt	13-	1	12	7	++	0.28	5.26
3/27	A	Dallastown	13-	4	9	6	+	0.28	3.21
4/01	H	Lower Dauphin	11-	3	8	5	+	-0.28	2.79
4/03	A	Cocalico	8-	12	-4	-1	–	0.28	-3.43
4/05	H	Moravian Academy	2-	4	-2	-4		-0.77		1.50
4/08	H	Elizabethtown	6-	2	4	6	–	-0.28	-2.27
4/12	A	Wyomissing	16-	1	15	13		0.28	1.54
4/15	A	Spring Grove	11-	8	3	3		0.28	-0.47
4/22	H	Central York	7-	3	4	4		-0.28	-0.08
4/25	H	Harrisburg Academy	16-	5	11	11		-0.28	0.46
4/29	H	Ephrata	10-	11	-1	4	––	-0.28	-5.03
5/01	A	Harrisburg Academy	10-	3	7	10	–	0.28	-2.98
5/06	H	Ephrata	13-	9	4	4		-0.28	-0.03
5/08	H	Central Dauphin	7-	5	2	4	–	-0.28	-2.44
									0.00	1.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/18	A	Governor Mifflin	16-	2	-3.46
3/20	A	Bishop McDevitt	13-	1	-2.00
4/12	A	Wyomissing	16-	1	-1.54
4/25	H	Harrisburg Academy	16-	5	-0.46
10-goal correction: -0.50

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1088
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.14		Natl Power Rank	1088
Natl SOS Rating	68.30		Natl SOS Rank	1651
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	849
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	279
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3

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