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Locust Valley Falcons (9-7)

Region: NY C Sec 8

State: NY

Coach: Gerry Fay

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/25	PORT WASHINGTON (11-5)	NY A Sec 8	92.7		W	5-	4		0.350
3/27	at Kellenberg (6-11)	NY Cath	88.3		L	5-	12		-0.250
4/04	at Friends Academy (6-9)	NY C Sec 8	88.1		W	7-	6		0.300
4/07	UNIONDALE (2-12)	NY A Sec 8	79.1		W	13-	6		0.050
4/08	WHEATLEY (3-12)	NY C Sec 8	77.4		W	13-	4		0.000
4/11	MANHASSET (14-4)	NY C Sec 8	98.0	5	L	4-	14		0.000
4/17	at Great Neck North (8-8)	NY B Sec 8	86.3		W	10-	9	2ot	0.225
4/22	at North Shore (11-6)	NY C Sec 8	93.4		L	8-	13		-0.100
4/25	at William Floyd (11-7)	NY A Sec 11	97.2		L	5-	15		-0.025
4/26	ST MARY'S (3-12)	NY Cath	81.5		L	10-	11		-0.425
4/30	at Seaford (8-8)	NY C Sec 8	91.2		L	4-	11		-0.125
5/06	BETHPAGE (8-10)	NY B Sec 8	90.6		W	7-	6		0.350
5/08	at Clarke (3-13)	NY B Sec 8	78.4		W	4-	3		0.075
5/14	MINEOLA (8-8)	NY C Sec 8	85.5		W	14-	7		0.150
5/17	WEST HEMPSTEAD (0-16)	NY B Sec 8	72.3		W	14-	1		0.000
5/19	at Cold Spring Harbor (15-4)	NY C Sec 8	96.4	9	L	3-	17		-0.025
			86.8						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	H	Port Washington	5-	4	1	-4	++	-0.67	4.59
3/27	A	Kellenberg	5-	12	-7	0	–––	0.34		-6.81
4/04	A	Friends Academy	7-	6	1	-2	+	0.67	3.21
4/07	H	Uniondale	13-	6	7	8		-0.67	-0.90
4/08	H	Wheatley	13-	4	9	11		-0.67	-1.84
4/11	H	Manhasset	4-	14	-10	-10		-0.67	-0.01
4/17	A	Great Neck North	10-	9	1	1		0.67	0.04
4/22	A	North Shore	8-	13	-5	-6		0.67	0.86
4/25	A	William Floyd	5-	15	-10	-9		0.66		-0.52
4/26	H	St Mary's	10-	11	-1	7	–––	-0.34		-8.29
4/30	A	Seaford	4-	11	-7	-5	–	0.67	-2.18
5/06	H	Bethpage	7-	6	1	-4	++	-0.67	4.82
5/08	A	Clarke	4-	3	1	7	–––	0.67	-6.34
5/14	H	Mineola	14-	7	7	4	+	-0.67	3.13
5/17	H	West Hempstead	14-	1	13	14		-0.67	-0.86
5/19	A	Cold Spring Harbor	3-	17	-14	-9	––	0.67	-4.51
									0.00	-15.62

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	H	Manhasset	4-	14	0.00
4/25	A	William Floyd	5-	15	0.00
5/17	H	West Hempstead	14-	1	0.86
5/19	A	Cold Spring Harbor	3-	17	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	938
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.41		Natl Power Rank	938
Natl SOS Rating	80.65		Natl SOS Rank	487
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	545
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1100
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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