| Region: VA Dulles | State: VA | Coach: Adam Wilburn |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | A | Potomac Falls | 10- | 9 | 1 | -1 | | 1.51 | 1.80 | |
3/25 | A | Freedom-South Riding | 16- | 11 | 5 | 2 | + | 1.51 | 3.21 | |
3/27 | H | Loudoun Valley | 5- | 15 | -10 | -8 | | -1.67 | | -1.95 |
4/01 | A | George Mason | 8- | 9 | -1 | -8 | +++ | 1.51 | 6.70 | |
4/03 | H | Dominion HS | 8- | 15 | -7 | -2 | –– | -1.51 | -4.62 | |
4/07 | H | Heritage-Leesburg | 2- | 21 | -19 | -9 | ––– | -1.51 | 10.45 | |
4/10 | A | Briar Woods | 11- | 12 | -1 | -1 | | 1.51 | 0.30 | |
4/14 | H | Freedom-South Riding | 11- | 7 | 4 | 5 | | -1.51 | -0.81 | |
4/24 | H | Potomac Falls | 8- | 5 | 3 | 2 | | -1.51 | 0.78 | |
4/26 | A | Broad Run | 5- | 19 | -14 | -14 | | 1.51 | -0.23 | |
5/01 | A | Park View | 16- | 4 | 12 | 11 | | 1.51 | 0.88 | |
5/03 | H | George Mason | 10- | 13 | -3 | -5 | | -1.51 | 1.68 | |
5/08 | A | Broad Run | 4- | 17 | -13 | -14 | | 1.51 | 0.77 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -1.95 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/27 | H | Loudoun Valley | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
4/07 | H | Heritage-Leesburg | 2- | 21 | 9.00 |
4/26 | A | Broad Run | 5- | 19 | 0.23 |
5/01 | A | Park View | 16- | 4 | -0.88 |
5/08 | A | Broad Run | 4- | 17 | -0.77 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.58 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 78. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1944 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 78.64 | | Natl Power Rank | 1944 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 66.84 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1792 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.12 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1111 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.38 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1835 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.3 |
| 
