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Lowville Red Raiders (5-12)

Conference: Frontr

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Rob Goss

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Cortland (8-12)	NY B Sec 3	91.4		L	8-	17		-0.075
3/29	vs. Horseheads # (8-11)	NY A Sec 4	88.3		L	8-	12		-0.200
4/08	GENERAL BROWN (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	87.3		W	13-	12	ot	0.200
4/10	at Watertown HS (14-4)	NY A Sec 3	93.8		L	5-	17		0.000
4/16	POTSDAM (11-6)	NY C Sec 10	82.8		W	10-	9		0.150
4/22	SOUTH JEFFERSON (8-10)	NY C Sec 3	86.7		L	6-	7	ot	-0.325
4/24	at Indian River (1-13)	NY B Sec 3	79.3			-
4/26	HAMILTON CENTRAL (6-9)	NY C Sec 3	79.5		W	20-	7		0.025
4/29	at Carthage (21-3)	NY B Sec 3	99.0	2	L	2-	14		0.000
5/03	at Bishop Ludden (6-12)	NY C Sec 3	88.3		L	10-	14		-0.175
5/06	WATERTOWN IHC (11-9)	NY C Sec 3	92.0		W	9-	8	ot	0.400
5/08	at General Brown (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	87.3		L	11-	12	ot	-0.250
5/10	ST LAWRENCE CENTRAL (9-9)	NY C Sec 10	79.2		W	11-	6		0.050
5/13	WATERTOWN HS (14-4)	NY A Sec 3	93.8		L	3-	15		-0.075
5/15	at South Jefferson (8-10)	NY C Sec 3	86.7		L	10-	14		-0.250
5/19	at Watertown IHC (11-9)	NY C Sec 3	92.0		L	9-	15		-0.050
5/20	INDIAN RIVER (1-13)	NY B Sec 3	79.3			-
5/22	CARTHAGE (21-3)	NY B Sec 3	99.0	2	L	5-	17		0.000
5/27	at Christian Bros (15-5)	NY C Sec 3	95.8	10	L	9-	15		-0.025
# Neutral site			88.3						-0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Cortland	8-	17	-9	-7		1.08	-1.78
3/29	N	Horseheads	8-	12	-4	-2		0.00		-1.81
4/08	H	General Brown	13-	12	1	2		-1.08	-1.27
4/10	A	Watertown HS	5-	17	-12	-10	–	1.08	-2.50
4/16	H	Potsdam	10-	9	1	4	–	-0.97		-3.29
4/22	H	South Jefferson	6-	7	-1	3	–	-1.08	-3.65
4/26	H	Hamilton Central	20-	7	13	9	++	-1.08	4.29
4/29	A	Carthage	2-	14	-12	-15	+	1.08	3.21
5/03	A	Bishop Ludden	10-	14	-4	-3		1.08	-0.86
5/06	H	Watertown IHC	9-	8	1	-6	+++	-1.08	6.58
5/08	A	General Brown	11-	12	-1	0		1.08	-1.11
5/10	H	St Lawrence Central	11-	6	5	8	–	-0.97		-2.84
5/13	H	Watertown HS	3-	15	-12	-7	––	-1.08	-4.66
5/15	A	South Jefferson	10-	14	-4	0	––	1.08	-4.49
5/19	A	Watertown IHC	9-	15	-6	-8		1.08	1.74
5/22	H	Carthage	5-	17	-12	-13		-1.08	1.06
5/27	A	Christian Bros	9-	15	-6	-9	+	1.08	3.45
									0.00	-7.94

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Watertown HS	5-	17	2.00
4/26	H	Hamilton Central	20-	7	-3.00
4/29	A	Carthage	2-	14	-3.21
5/13	H	Watertown HS	3-	15	2.00
5/22	H	Carthage	5-	17	-1.06
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1231
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.10		Natl Power Rank	1231
Natl SOS Rating	82.90		Natl SOS Rank	349
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	2454
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	2118
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.0


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