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Lexington Dunbar Bulldogs (3-11)

Region: KY Div-1State: KYCoach: Dave Kaetzel

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/24at Webb-Knoxville (8-5)TN 2 East76.8L8- 9 -0.175  
3/19at Louisville St Xavier (15-3)KY Div-191.01L3-16 0.000  
3/21KENTUCKY COUNTRY DAY (4-11)KY Div-173.7L4- 5 -0.325  
3/24TOLEDO ST JOHN'S (12-8)OH 1 Reg 192.1L5-11 0.000  
3/26LOUISVILLE TRINITY (8-10)KY Div-183.15L5-15 -0.125  
4/09vs. Lexington Tates Creek # (0-14)KY Div-169.1W15- 3 0.125  
4/12at Covington Catholic (4-7)KY Div-265.1W19- 5 0.025  
4/21at Louisville Ballard (10-6)KY Div-184.12L9-13 -0.075  
4/23at Lexington Catholic (10-7)KY Div-184.03L3-12 -0.050  
4/27MASON (10-6)OH 1 Reg 488.7L4-14 0.000  
5/01at Lexington Sayre (10-6)KY Div-182.06L3-14 -0.125  
5/03vs. Lexington Henry Clay # (9-3)KY Div-275.49W15- 7 0.175  
5/07at Louisville Collegiate (9-9)KY Div-183.94L4-16 -0.025  
5/10DUPONT MANUAL (6-8)KY Div-176.78L13-14ot-0.300  
# Neutral site 80.1     -0.88  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/24AWebb-Knoxville8-9-1   -3       0.79       1.92
3/19ALouisville St Xavier3-16-13   -15       1.04       1.63
3/21HKentucky Country Day4-5-1   3       –-1.04       -3.68
3/24HToledo St John's5-11-6   -16       +++-1.16       10.26
3/26HLouisville Trinity5-15-10   -5       ––-1.04       -4.59
4/09NLexington Tates Creek15-312   5       +++0.00       6.85
4/12ACovington Catholic19-514   9       ++1.04       5.46
4/21ALouisville Ballard9-13-4   -7       +1.04       3.13
4/23ALexington Catholic3-12-9   -8       1.04       -1.11
4/27HMason4-14-10   -13       +-1.16       2.94
5/01ALexington Sayre3-14-11   -5       –––1.04       -6.36
5/03NLexington Henry Clay15-78   3       ++0.00       4.98
5/07ALouisville Collegiate4-16-12   -9       –1.04       -3.10
5/10HDuPont Manual13-14-1   2       –-1.04       -3.21
         0.0015.12

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/19ALouisville St Xavier3-16-1.63
3/26HLouisville Trinity5-150.00
4/09NLexington Tates Creek15-3-2.00
4/12ACovington Catholic19-5-4.00
4/27HMason4-14-2.94
5/01ALexington Sayre3-141.00
5/07ALouisville Collegiate4-162.00
10-goal correction: -0.54

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 75.   Natl CCR Rank 2283
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 74.65   Natl Power Rank 2283
Natl SOS Rating 67.26   Natl SOS Rank 1755
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.88   Natl Quality Win Rank 2708
W-L Pct Rating 0.21   W-L Pct Rank 2316
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 3-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -9.6
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.7



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