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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Long Reach Lightning (2-13)

Region: MD 32 SouthState: MDCoach: Frank Valenza

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/25CENTURY (12-6)MD 21 West93.8L0-15 0.000  
3/28at Meade (1-12)MD 43 East76.3L6- 7 -0.200  
4/01at Reservoir (12-5)MD 32 South91.7L0-17 0.000  
4/04at Oakland Mills (1-12)MD 21 West74.8L3- 4ot-0.275  
4/08at Centennial (13-6)MD 32 South94.3L0-14 0.000  
4/10MOUNT HEBRON (5-9)MD 32 South86.5L4-14 -0.050  
4/15GLENELG HS (18-0)MD 21 West96.94L1-17 0.000  
4/18at River Hill (7-7)MD 32 South91.3L1-15 0.000  
4/22WILDE LAKE (4-9)MD 32 South85.5L7-14 -0.050  
4/25at Hammond (3-12)MD 32 South81.7L3- 5 -0.100  
4/29HOWARD (9-8)MD 32 South88.5L0-16 0.000  
5/02at Marriott's Ridge (12-5)MD 21 West94.1L3-15 0.000  
5/08EDMONDSON (4-7)MD 32 South71.2W10- 5 0.050  
5/10at Randallstown (7-4)MD 32 South77.1W9- 8 0.200  
5/13at Reservoir (12-5)MD 32 South91.7L3-13 0.000  
 81.9     -0.43  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25HCentury0-15-15   -14       -0.93       -1.02
3/28AMeade6-7-1   -2       0.93       0.83
4/01AReservoir0-17-17   -13       0.93       -3.71
4/04AOakland Mills3-4-1   1       0.93       -1.93
4/08ACentennial0-14-14   -17       +0.93       2.92
4/10HMount Hebron4-14-10   -8       -0.93       -2.01
4/15HGlenelg HS1-17-16   -18       -0.93       1.71
4/18ARiver Hill1-15-14   -14       0.93       0.26
4/22HWilde Lake7-14-7   -8       -0.93       0.68
4/25AHammond3-5-2   -6       ++0.93       4.32
4/29HHoward0-16-16   -11       ––-0.93       -5.15
5/02AMarriott's Ridge3-15-12   -16       +0.93       3.79
5/08HEdmondson10-55   8       -0.93       -2.88
5/10ARandallstown9-81   2       0.93       -1.09
5/13AReservoir3-13-10   -13       +0.93       3.29
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/25HCentury0-151.02
4/01AReservoir0-173.71
4/08ACentennial0-14-2.92
4/10HMount Hebron4-140.00
4/15HGlenelg HS1-17-1.71
4/18ARiver Hill1-15-0.26
4/29HHoward0-165.15
5/02AMarriott's Ridge3-15-3.79
5/13AReservoir3-13-3.29
10-goal correction: -0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 76.   Natl CCR Rank 2177
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 76.19   Natl Power Rank 2177
Natl SOS Rating 70.78   Natl SOS Rank 1402
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.43   Natl Quality Win Rank 2246
W-L Pct Rating 0.13   W-L Pct Rank 2518
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 2-13   Ave Goal diff (all ) -8.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.3



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