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Loch Raven Raiders (2-11)

Region: MD 21 North

State: MD

Coach: Rob Persing

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Eastern Tech (13-5)	MD 21 North	93.7		L	3-	14		-0.075
4/03	GLENELG COUNTRY (5-12)	MD B MIAA	79.6		W	7-	5		0.125
4/08	at Sparrows Point (1-10)	MD 21 North	76.3		W	13-	8		0.075
4/11	PERRY HALL (4-8)	MD 43 South	85.4		L	7-	13		-0.250
4/15	at Catonsville (12-5)	MD 43 South	95.6	8	L	0-	16		0.000
4/16	WORCESTER PREP (9-5)	MD Indep	90.7		L	2-	9		-0.100
4/18	FRANKLIN (9-5)	MD 32 North	94.6		L	6-	15		0.000
4/22	at Owings Mills (6-9)	MD 21 North	87.1		L	7-	9		-0.175
4/23	EASTERN TECH (13-5)	MD 21 North	93.7		L	6-	9		-0.100
4/25	at Towson (11-5)	MD 32 North	94.6		L	2-	12		0.000
4/29	at Hereford (15-2)	MD 32 North	97.2	3	L	4-	16		0.000
5/02	PIKESVILLE (12-4)	MD 21 North	93.9		L	6-	10		-0.100
5/09	at Pikesville (12-4)	MD 21 North	93.9		L	3-	6		-0.050
			86.9						-0.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Eastern Tech	3-	14	-11	-7	–	0.93	-3.61
4/03	H	Glenelg Country	7-	5	2	5	–	-1.16		-2.79
4/08	A	Sparrows Point	13-	8	5	7		0.93	-1.65
4/11	H	Perry Hall	7-	13	-6	0	––	-0.93	-5.91
4/15	A	Catonsville	0-	16	-16	-13	–	0.93	-2.75
4/16	H	Worcester Prep	2-	9	-7	-6		-1.33		-0.82
4/18	H	Franklin	6-	15	-9	-10		-0.93	1.17
4/22	A	Owings Mills	7-	9	-2	-3		0.93	1.19
4/23	H	Eastern Tech	6-	9	-3	-6	+	-0.93	2.53
4/25	A	Towson	2-	12	-10	-10		0.93	-0.30
4/29	A	Hereford	4-	16	-12	-15	+	0.93	2.60
5/02	H	Pikesville	6-	10	-4	-6		-0.93	1.93
5/09	A	Pikesville	3-	6	-3	-8	++	0.93	4.79
									0.00	-3.60

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Eastern Tech	3-	14	1.00
4/15	A	Catonsville	0-	16	2.75
4/25	A	Towson	2-	12	0.00
4/29	A	Hereford	4-	16	-2.60
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1522
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.21		Natl Power Rank	1522
Natl SOS Rating	80.86		Natl SOS Rank	470
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	2515
W-L Pct Rating	0.15		W-L Pct Rank	2473
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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