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Lampeter-Strasburg Pioneers (18-7)

Region: PA LL04

State: PA

Coach: Joe Frank

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at West Chester East (11-9)	PA Suburb	93.4		L	4-	7		-0.200
3/15	at Kennett (5-15)	PA Suburb	89.7		W	9-	6		0.225
3/18	PALMYRA (9-9)	PA Mid 1	83.1		W	12-	3		0.025
3/20	at Conrad Weiser (22-5)	PA Berks	86.2		W	14-	4		0.025
3/22	at West Chester Rustin (6-13)	PA Suburb	90.7		W	7-	4		0.250
3/27	CHAMBERSBURG (13-6)	PA Mid 1	88.2	10	W	9-	6		0.150
3/29	at Lower Dauphin (6-10)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	15-	4		0.000
4/01	MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (19-9)	PA LL04	94.9	2	W	8-	3		0.300
4/03	CENTRAL DAUPHIN (7-9)	PA Mid 1	82.6		W	12-	3		0.000
4/05	at Hershey (9-7)	PA Mid 1	84.4		W	9-	5		0.100
4/08	HARRISBURG ACADEMY (1-14)	PA Mid 1	74.9		W	16-	1		0.000
4/15	at Central York (8-7)	PA York 1	83.7		W	19-	2		0.025
4/17	CENTRAL DAUPHIN EAST (0-14)	PA Mid 1	71.9		W	21-	2		0.000
4/19	at Penn Manor (12-9)	PA LL04	89.5	8	W	8-	7	ot	0.200
4/22	WARWICK (17-6)	PA LL04	93.4	3	L	7-	8		-0.250
4/24	at Hempfield (13-12)	PA LL04	92.2	5	L	4-	12		-0.175
4/29	CONESTOGA VALLEY (4-15)	PA LL04	82.1		W	15-	5		0.025
4/30	SUSQUEHANNOCK (19-1)	PA York 1	95.8	1	L	9-	13		-0.175
5/01	at Elizabethtown (3-11)	PA LL04	79.1		W	18-	5		0.000
5/03	SOUTH-WESTERN (11-6)	PA York 1	88.9	9	L	8-	11		-0.350
5/06	at Cocalico (9-6)	PA LL04	87.7		W	17-	9		0.125
5/10	at Ephrata (8-12)	PA LL04	82.6		W	15-	6		0.025
5/12	PENN MANOR (12-9)	PA LL04	89.5	8	W	14-	5		0.175
5/15	at Manheim Township (19-9)	PA LL04	94.9	2	L	8-	12		-0.200
5/21	at Carlisle (14-7)	PA Mid 1	89.5	7	L	10-	13		-0.325
			86.0						-0.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	West Chester East	4-	7	-3	-2		0.77		-0.53
3/15	A	Kennett	9-	6	3	1		0.77		1.82
3/18	H	Palmyra	12-	3	9	9		-0.28	0.10
3/20	A	Conrad Weiser	14-	4	10	9		0.28	1.05
3/22	A	West Chester Rustin	7-	4	3	0	+	0.77		2.79
3/27	H	Chambersburg	9-	6	3	4		-0.28	-1.37
3/29	A	Lower Dauphin	15-	4	11	10		0.28	0.96
4/01	H	Manheim Township	8-	3	5	-2	+++	-0.28	6.63
4/03	H	Central Dauphin	12-	3	9	10		-0.28	-0.83
4/05	A	Hershey	9-	5	4	6	–	0.28	-2.43
4/08	H	Harrisburg Academy	16-	1	15	16		-0.28	-0.93
4/15	A	Central York	19-	2	17	9	+++	0.28	8.09
4/17	H	Central Dauphin East	21-	2	19	20		-0.28	-0.74
4/19	A	Penn Manor	8-	7	1	2		0.28	-1.39
4/22	H	Warwick	7-	8	-1	0		-0.28	-1.05
4/24	A	Hempfield	4-	12	-8	-3	––	0.28	-5.21
4/29	H	Conestoga Valley	15-	5	10	9		-0.28	1.09
4/30	H	Susquehannock	9-	13	-4	-3		-0.28	-0.65
5/01	A	Elizabethtown	18-	5	13	11		0.28	1.90
5/03	H	South-Western	8-	11	-3	4	–––	-0.28	-7.13
5/06	A	Cocalico	17-	9	8	5	+	0.28	3.18
5/10	A	Ephrata	15-	6	9	9		0.28	0.14
5/12	H	Penn Manor	14-	5	9	3	+++	-0.28	6.04
5/15	A	Manheim Township	8-	12	-4	-2		0.28	-1.80
5/21	A	Carlisle	10-	13	-3	3	––	0.28	-5.65
									0.00	4.08

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	A	Conrad Weiser	14-	4	0.00
3/29	A	Lower Dauphin	15-	4	-0.96
4/08	H	Harrisburg Academy	16-	1	0.93
4/15	A	Central York	19-	2	-7.00
4/17	H	Central Dauphin East	21-	2	0.74
4/29	H	Conestoga Valley	15-	5	0.00
5/01	A	Elizabethtown	18-	5	-1.90
10-goal correction: -0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	510
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.67		Natl Power Rank	510
Natl SOS Rating	78.67		Natl SOS Rank	630
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	1555
W-L Pct Rating	0.72		W-L Pct Rank	515
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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