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Lexington Tates Creek Commodores (0-14)

Region: KY Div-1

State: KY

Coach: Andy Tarter

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/24	at Greenville (16-6)	SC West	87.9		L	3-	5		0.000
3/16	HAMILTON SOUTHEASTERN (13-7)	IN Indep	82.1		L	3-	7		0.000
3/17	LOUISVILLE COLLEGIATE (9-9)	KY Div-1	83.9	4	L	0-	11		0.000
3/22	at DuPont Manual (6-8)	KY Div-1	76.7	8	L	7-	9		-0.125
3/25	TOLEDO ST JOHN'S (12-8)	OH 1 Reg 1	92.1		L	2-	17		0.000
3/28	HERITAGE CHRISTIAN (11-4)	IN Indep	88.2		L	2-	14		0.000
4/09	vs. Lexington Dunbar # (3-11)	KY Div-1	74.6	10	L	3-	15		-0.125
4/14	LOUISVILLE BALLARD (10-6)	KY Div-1	84.1	2	L	2-	16		0.000
4/16	LEXINGTON SAYRE (10-6)	KY Div-1	82.0	6	L	5-	14		-0.050
4/21	LOUISVILLE TRINITY (8-10)	KY Div-1	83.1	5	L	3-	14		0.000
4/27	MASON (10-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	88.7		L	1-	14		0.000
4/30	at Louisville St Xavier (15-3)	KY Div-1	91.0	1	L	2-	20		0.000
5/05	at Lexington Catholic (10-7)	KY Div-1	84.0	3	L	4-	13		0.000
5/08	at Kentucky Country Day (4-11)	KY Div-1	73.7		L	5-	7		-0.125
# Neutral site			83.4						-0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/24	A	Greenville	3-	5	-2	-20	+++	1.03		17.88
3/16	H	Hamilton SouthEastern	3-	7	-4	-12	+++	-0.89		8.17
3/17	H	Louisville Collegiate	0-	11	-11	-12		-1.04	0.97
3/22	A	DuPont Manual	7-	9	-2	-5	+	1.04	3.03
3/25	H	Toledo St John's	2-	17	-15	-22	+++	-1.16		6.85
3/28	H	Heritage Christian	2-	14	-12	-18	+++	-0.89		6.24
4/09	N	Lexington Dunbar	3-	15	-12	-5	–––	0.00	-6.85
4/14	H	Louisville Ballard	2-	16	-14	-10	–	-1.04	-3.81
4/16	H	Lexington Sayre	5-	14	-9	-8		-1.04	-1.29
4/21	H	Louisville Trinity	3-	14	-11	-11		-1.04	-0.44
4/27	H	Mason	1-	14	-13	-19	++	-1.16		5.53
4/30	A	Louisville St Xavier	2-	20	-18	-20		1.04	1.79
5/05	A	Lexington Catholic	4-	13	-9	-13	++	1.04	4.04
5/08	A	Kentucky Country Day	5-	7	-2	-5	+	1.04	2.56
									0.00	44.68

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	H	Louisville Collegiate	0-	11	-0.97
3/25	H	Toledo St John's	2-	17	-6.85
3/28	H	Heritage Christian	2-	14	-6.24
4/09	N	Lexington Dunbar	3-	15	2.00
4/14	H	Louisville Ballard	2-	16	4.00
4/21	H	Louisville Trinity	3-	14	0.44
4/27	H	Mason	1-	14	-5.53
4/30	A	Louisville St Xavier	2-	20	-1.79
10-goal correction: -1.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	2603
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.05		Natl Power Rank	2603
Natl SOS Rating	72.81		Natl SOS Rank	1173
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.43		Natl Quality Win Rank	2234
W-L Pct Rating	0.00		W-L Pct Rank	2743
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	0-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-9.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.7


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