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Lawton Chiles Timberwolves (11-4)

Region: FL 1B Centrl

State: FL

Coach: Jim Sparazza

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/05	at Oak Hall-Gainesville (4-7)	FL 3B Centrl	76.2		W	7-	6	ot	0.200
2/12	at Fletcher (8-5)	FL 2B Centrl	80.9		W	6-	5		0.275
2/14	at Lincoln-Tallahassee (0-13)	FL 1B Centrl	66.7		W	16-	0		0.025
2/22	at Sandalwood (3-9)	FL 2B Centrl	69.0		W	11-	0		0.000
2/25	MACLAY (15-4)	FL 1B Centrl	87.9		L	2-	13		-0.125
2/28	at Leon (2-9)	FL 1B Centrl	70.4		W	7-	1		0.050
3/03	at Leon (2-9)	FL 1B Centrl	70.4		W	16-	1		0.050
3/06	LINCOLN-TALLAHASSEE (0-13)	FL 1B Centrl	66.7		W	10-	2		0.000
3/13	at Maclay (15-4)	FL 1B Centrl	87.9		L	5-	15		-0.050
3/14	STANTON PREP (9-5)	FL 2B Centrl	81.8		L	8-	9		-0.275
3/18	at Fleming Island (5-7)	FL 3B Centrl	79.5		W	8-	7		0.300
3/20	LEON (2-9)	FL 1B Centrl	70.4		W	8-	1		0.000
3/26	LINCOLN-TALLAHASSEE (0-13)	FL 1B Centrl	66.7		W	17-	0		0.000
3/31	vs. Leon # (2-9)	FL 1B Centrl	70.4		W	8-	4		0.025
4/01	vs. Maclay # (15-4)	FL 1B Centrl	87.9		L	4-	11		-0.100
# Neutral site			71.6						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/05	A	Oak Hall-Gainesville	7-	6	1	2		1.48	-1.36
2/12	A	Fletcher	6-	5	1	-1	+	1.48	2.07
2/14	A	Lincoln-Tallahassee	16-	0	16	9	+++	1.48	7.45
2/22	A	Sandalwood	11-	0	11	10		1.48	1.05
2/25	H	Maclay	2-	13	-11	-5	–––	-1.48	-6.37
2/28	A	Leon	7-	1	6	8		1.48	-1.55
3/03	A	Leon	16-	1	15	8	+++	1.48	7.45
3/06	H	Lincoln-Tallahassee	10-	2	8	12	–	-1.48	-3.52
3/13	A	Maclay	5-	15	-10	-8	–	1.48	-2.40
3/14	H	Stanton Prep	8-	9	-1	1		-1.48	-1.79
3/18	A	Fleming Island	8-	7	1	-2	+	1.48	2.90
3/20	H	Leon	8-	1	7	11	–	-1.48	-3.52
3/26	H	Lincoln-Tallahassee	17-	0	17	12	++	-1.48	5.48
3/31	N	Leon	8-	4	4	9	––	0.00	-5.03
4/01	N	Maclay	4-	11	-7	-6		0.00	-0.88
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/14	A	Lincoln-Tallahassee	16-	0	-6.00
2/22	A	Sandalwood	11-	0	-1.05
2/25	H	Maclay	2-	13	1.00
3/03	A	Leon	16-	1	-5.00
3/13	A	Maclay	5-	15	0.00
3/26	H	Lincoln-Tallahassee	17-	0	-5.48
10-goal correction: -1.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	1726
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.83		Natl Power Rank	1726
Natl SOS Rating	53.74		Natl SOS Rank	2704
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	744
W-L Pct Rating	0.73		W-L Pct Rank	468
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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