| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Nate Dewey |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/12 | WESTFIELD (10-7) | VA Concord | 94.1 | 5 | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.275 |
3/26 | at Yorktown (8-10) | VA Nationl | 86.5 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.025 |
3/28 | GLENELG HS (18-0) | MD 21 West | 96.9 | | L | 7- | 12 | | -0.200 |
4/01 | at Thos Jefferson (4-10) | VA Liberty | 87.0 | | W | 17- | 11 | | 0.075 |
4/08 | WOODSON (9-7) | VA Liberty | 93.4 | 8 | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.200 |
4/10 | at Marshall (0-12) | VA Liberty | 78.1 | | W | 18- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | MCLEAN (6-6) | VA Liberty | 89.1 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.025 |
4/17 | at Langley (12-4) | VA Liberty | 95.4 | 2 | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.200 |
4/22 | SOUTH LAKES (6-7) | VA Liberty | 87.7 | | W | 19- | 7 | | 0.025 |
4/23 | at Stone Bridge (4-10) | VA Liberty | 83.4 | | W | 21- | 8 | | 0.000 |
4/26 | OAKTON (13-8) | VA Concord | 94.5 | 3 | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.225 |
5/05 | STONE BRIDGE (4-10) | VA Liberty | 83.4 | | W | 21- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | vs. Langley # (12-4) | VA Liberty | 95.4 | 2 | L | 10- | 14 | | -0.225 |
5/13 | at Lake Braddock (11-5) | VA Patriot | 90.3 | 10 | W | 16- | 10 | | 0.150 |
5/15 | WESTFIELD (10-7) | VA Concord | 94.1 | 5 | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.275 |
| # Neutral site | | 88.5 | | | | | | -0.45 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | H | Westfield | 9- | 11 | -2 | 1 | – | -1.02 | -3.11 | |
3/26 | A | Yorktown | 12- | 6 | 6 | 9 | – | 1.02 | -3.10 | |
3/28 | H | Glenelg HS | 7- | 12 | -5 | -2 | – | -0.98 | | -3.23 |
4/01 | A | Thos Jefferson | 17- | 11 | 6 | 7 | | 1.02 | -1.43 | |
4/08 | H | Woodson | 11- | 7 | 4 | 2 | | -1.02 | 1.64 | |
4/10 | A | Marshall | 18- | 3 | 15 | 15 | | 1.02 | 0.42 | |
4/14 | H | McLean | 15- | 4 | 11 | 9 | | -1.02 | 1.75 | |
4/17 | A | Langley | 9- | 11 | -2 | -2 | | 1.02 | -0.05 | |
4/22 | H | South Lakes | 19- | 7 | 12 | 9 | + | -1.02 | 2.52 | |
4/23 | A | Stone Bridge | 21- | 8 | 13 | 12 | | 1.02 | 1.48 | |
4/26 | H | Oakton | 12- | 5 | 7 | 1 | +++ | -1.02 | 6.03 | |
5/05 | H | Stone Bridge | 21- | 4 | 17 | 14 | + | -1.02 | 3.43 | |
5/07 | N | Langley | 10- | 14 | -4 | -1 | – | 0.00 | -3.08 | |
5/13 | A | Lake Braddock | 16- | 10 | 6 | 4 | | 1.02 | 1.61 | |
5/15 | H | Westfield | 5- | 12 | -7 | 1 | ––– | -1.02 | -8.11 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -3.23 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/10 | A | Marshall | 18- | 3 | -0.42 |
4/14 | H | McLean | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
4/22 | H | South Lakes | 19- | 7 | -2.00 |
4/23 | A | Stone Bridge | 21- | 8 | -1.48 |
5/05 | H | Stone Bridge | 21- | 4 | -3.43 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.56 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 301 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 94.18 | | Natl Power Rank | 301 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 83.23 | | Natl SOS Rank | 330 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.45 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2268 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.67 | | W-L Pct Rank | 740 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.7 |
|
