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Mankato Cougars (9-4)

Region: MN South

State: MN

Coach: Trevann Sheppard

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/16	at Spring Lake Park (3-10)	MN East	79.5		W	17-	2		0.025
4/18	at Rochester Mayo/Lourdes (5-7)	MN South	84.6		W	13-	6		0.175
4/19	SUPERIOR (0-11)	MN East	76.2		W	14-	2		0.000
4/19	at Rochester Century/JM (11-2)	MN South	89.3	4	L	3-	7		-0.200
4/21	at St Paul (9-3)	MN East	89.5	3	L	4-	10		-0.175
4/28	HASTINGS (1-13)	MN South	78.2		W	10-	0		0.000
4/30	at Andover (17-3)	MN North	90.6	2	L	5-	8		-0.175
5/05	FOREST LAKE (4-10)	MN East	80.9		W	14-	3		0.025
5/09	ROCHESTER CENTURY/JM (11-2)	MN South	89.3	4	W	10-	9		0.250
5/16	ROCHESTER MAYO/LOURDES (5-7)	MN South	84.6		W	12-	9		0.125
5/17	COON RAPIDS (3-9)	MN North	82.9		W	10-	3		0.125
5/19	at Hastings (1-13)	MN South	78.2		W	11-	4		0.050
5/27	ST CLOUD TECH (8-7)	MN West	86.2	9	L	7-	9		-0.350
			83.3						-0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/16	A	Spring Lake Park	17-	2	15	9	+++	1.03	6.05
4/18	A	Rochester Mayo/Lourdes	13-	6	7	3	++	1.03	4.11
4/19	H	Superior	14-	2	12	12		-1.03	0.12
4/19	A	Rochester Century/JM	3-	7	-4	-2	–	1.03	-2.01
4/21	A	St Paul	4-	10	-6	-3	–	1.03	-3.45
4/28	H	Hastings	10-	0	10	10		-1.03	-0.42
4/30	A	Andover	5-	8	-3	-3		1.03	0.26
5/05	H	Forest Lake	14-	3	11	9	+	-1.03	2.24
5/09	H	Rochester Century/JM	10-	9	1	0		-1.03	0.94
5/16	H	Rochester Mayo/Lourdes	12-	9	3	5		-1.03	-1.95
5/17	H	Coon Rapids	10-	3	7	5		-1.03	1.54
5/19	A	Hastings	11-	4	7	8		1.03	-1.37
5/27	H	St Cloud Tech	7-	9	-2	4	–––	-1.03	-6.06
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	A	Spring Lake Park	17-	2	-5.00
4/19	H	Superior	14-	2	-0.12
4/28	H	Hastings	10-	0	0.42
5/05	H	Forest Lake	14-	3	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.44

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	944
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.06		Natl Power Rank	944
Natl SOS Rating	72.82		Natl SOS Rank	1169
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1667
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	609
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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