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Manasquan Warriors (10-7)

Conference: Shore

Region: NJ Grp-I

State: NJ

Coach: Mike Dowd

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	TOMS RIVER NORTH (8-6)	NJ Grp-IV	89.6		W	7-	3		0.150
4/02	ST ROSE BELMAR (2-15)	NJ Grp-B	74.1		W	16-	4		0.000
4/04	at Colt's Neck (5-10)	NJ Grp-IV	83.6		W	9-	4		0.150
4/07	MARLBORO (8-11)	NJ Grp-IV	81.0		W	10-	0		0.025
4/10	at Rumson-Fair Haven (12-4)	NJ Grp-I	94.8		L	3-	7		-0.175
4/12	MOORESTOWN (14-8)	NJ Grp-II	97.7		L	8-	11		-0.075
4/16	at St John Vianney (1-17)	NJ Grp-A	69.6		W	15-	0		0.000
4/17	at Toms River East (15-4)	NJ Grp-III	93.1		L	9-	10		-0.250
4/21	at Barnegat Township (4-14)	NJ Grp-I	75.8		W	17-	6		0.025
4/24	RED BANK CATHOLIC (15-3)	NJ Grp-A	96.9		L	8-	9		-0.200
4/26	SOUTHERN REGIONAL (8-8)	NJ Grp-IV	85.3		W	15-	8		0.100
4/29	at Red Bank Regional (14-3)	NJ Grp-II	96.6		L	10-	18		-0.125
5/03	at Jackson Memorial (7-9)	NJ Grp-IV	85.5		W	10-	9		0.175
5/05	at Wall Township (12-6)	NJ Grp-II	91.2		W	9-	5		0.250
5/10	WALL TOWNSHIP (12-6)	NJ Grp-II	91.2		W	10-	9		0.175
5/13	at Red Bank Catholic (15-3)	NJ Grp-A	96.9		L	5-	13		-0.150
5/21	at Summit (15-6)	NJ Grp-I	97.8	10	L	2-	14		0.000
			79.7						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Toms River North	7-	3	4	4		-1.37	-0.13
4/02	H	St Rose Belmar	16-	4	12	12		-1.37	0.22
4/04	A	Colt's Neck	9-	4	5	4		1.37	1.04
4/07	H	Marlboro	10-	0	10	9		-1.37	0.69
4/10	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	3-	7	-4	-3		1.37	-1.29
4/12	H	Moorestown	8-	11	-3	-7	+	-1.37	3.76
4/16	A	St John Vianney	15-	0	15	13	+	1.37	2.23
4/17	A	Toms River East	9-	10	-1	0		1.37	-0.76
4/21	A	Barnegat Township	17-	6	11	9		1.37	1.67
4/24	H	Red Bank Catholic	8-	9	-1	-2		-1.37	0.53
4/26	H	Southern Regional	15-	8	7	6		-1.37	0.84
4/29	A	Red Bank Regional	10-	18	-8	-5	–	1.37	-2.90
5/03	A	Jackson Memorial	10-	9	1	3	–	1.37	-2.20
5/05	A	Wall Township	9-	5	4	0	+	1.37	3.94
5/10	H	Wall Township	10-	9	1	3		-1.37	-1.79
5/13	A	Red Bank Catholic	5-	13	-8	-4	–	1.37	-3.73
5/21	A	Summit	2-	14	-12	-10	–	1.37	-2.13
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	St Rose Belmar	16-	4	-0.22
4/07	H	Marlboro	10-	0	0.00
4/16	A	St John Vianney	15-	0	-2.23
4/21	A	Barnegat Township	17-	6	-1.00
5/21	A	Summit	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	528
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.07		Natl Power Rank	528
Natl SOS Rating	66.85		Natl SOS Rank	1789
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1221
W-L Pct Rating	0.59		W-L Pct Rank	987
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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