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Marblehead Magicians (10-9)

Conference: North Shore

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: John Wilkens

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	BEVERLY (9-10)	MA 1	90.5		L	6-	7		-0.350
4/10	DANVERS (7-13)	MA 2	86.2		W	13-	9		0.075
4/11	at Hamilton-Wenham (13-7)	MA 3	92.1		L	4-	9		-0.200
4/14	at Lynn-Classical/English (2-15)	MA 1	78.2		W	15-	4		0.000
4/17	PEABODY (14-6)	MA 1	92.9		L	7-	9		-0.225
4/24	SAUGUS (8-9)	MA 2	88.0		W	14-	8		0.075
4/25	at Concord Carlisle (14-6)	MA 2	93.5		L	4-	9		-0.150
4/30	at North Andover (17-5)	MA 2	94.1		W	14-	8		0.375
5/02	GLOUCESTER (9-10)	MA 1	88.4		W	11-	4		0.100
5/05	SWAMPSCOTT (10-11)	MA 3	88.2		W	10-	9		0.100
5/07	SALEM (2-15)	MA 1	80.7		W	15-	9		0.000
5/08	at Gloucester (9-10)	MA 1	88.4		L	6-	7		-0.325
5/13	at Peabody (14-6)	MA 1	92.9		L	7-	8		-0.175
5/15	at Swampscott (10-11)	MA 3	88.2		W	12-	2		0.150
5/16	at Beverly (9-10)	MA 1	90.5		L	8-	9		-0.300
5/19	at Danvers (7-13)	MA 2	86.2		W	11-	5		0.125
5/20	at Pentucket (5-15)	MA 2	83.0		W	15-	1		0.075
5/21	at Masconomet (15-6)	MA 2	93.3		L	5-	8		-0.150
5/28	SANDWICH (12-8)	MA 2	92.0		L	10-	11		-0.275
			81.5						-1.07

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	H	Beverly	6-	7	-1	4	––	-1.09	-4.81
4/10	H	Danvers	13-	9	4	7	–	-1.09	-2.85
4/11	A	Hamilton-Wenham	4-	9	-5	-2	–	1.09	-3.14
4/14	A	Lynn-Classical/English	15-	4	11	10		1.09	1.07
4/17	H	Peabody	7-	9	-2	-1		-1.09	-1.15
4/24	H	Saugus	14-	8	6	7		-1.09	-0.57
4/25	A	Concord Carlisle	4-	9	-5	-4		1.09	-0.57
4/30	A	North Andover	14-	8	6	-5	+++	1.09	10.93
5/02	H	Gloucester	11-	4	7	6		-1.09	1.49
5/05	H	Swampscott	10-	9	1	6	––	-1.09	-4.78
5/07	H	Salem	15-	9	6	11	––	-1.09	-4.57
5/08	A	Gloucester	6-	7	-1	3	––	1.09	-4.33
5/13	A	Peabody	7-	8	-1	-3	+	1.09	2.03
5/15	A	Swampscott	12-	2	10	4	+++	1.09	6.40
5/16	A	Beverly	8-	9	-1	2	–	1.09	-2.63
5/19	A	Danvers	11-	5	6	5		1.09	1.33
5/20	A	Pentucket	15-	1	14	7	+++	1.09	6.71
5/21	A	Masconomet	5-	8	-3	-4		1.09	1.29
5/28	H	Sandwich	10-	11	-1	1		-1.09	-1.84
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/14	A	Lynn-Classical/English	15-	4	-1.07
5/15	A	Swampscott	12-	2	0.00
5/20	A	Pentucket	15-	1	-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	616
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.81		Natl Power Rank	616
Natl SOS Rating	69.76		Natl SOS Rank	1494
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.07		Natl Quality Win Rank	2831
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1262
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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