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Erie-McDowell Trojans (5-10)

Region: PA 2DNORTH

State: PA

Coach: Todd Powers

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	BETHEL PARK (11-5)	PA 1DSOUTH	91.2	6	L	6-	18		0.000
4/11	at Shaler Area (8-9)	PA 2DNORTH	77.9		W	9-	4		0.300
4/18	at Chartiers Valley (7-9)	PA 2DSOUTH	79.3		L	4-	6		-0.150
4/19	TAYLOR ALLDERDICE (9-4)	PA DIV-3	77.0		W	15-	14	ot	0.175
4/24	FOX CHAPEL (12-6)	PA 2DNORTH	86.2		L	4-	16		-0.075
4/26	at Green-Akron (8-10)	OH 2 Reg 2	81.6		L	3-	9		-0.100
4/26	vs. Archbishop Hoban # (8-6)	OH 2 Reg 2	86.3		L	7-	14		-0.025
4/27	vs. Lake LC # (8-7)	OH 4 North	81.1		L	6-	9		-0.150
5/02	at North Hills (7-10)	PA 2DNORTH	80.1		L	7-	11		-0.175
5/05	ERIE-SPEARS (4-5)	NY I Sec 6	71.3		W	16-	0		0.100
5/07	at Butler Area (8-11)	PA 2DNORTH	80.3		L	6-	12		-0.150
5/10	KISKI PREP (18-5)	PA 2DNORTH	90.7	7	L	5-	13		-0.025
5/10	QUAKER VALLEY (5-9)	PA 2DNORTH	78.0		W	9-	6		0.275
5/14	CATHEDRAL PREP (2-14)	PA 2DNORTH	72.2		W	5-	2		0.150
5/16	at Butler Area (8-11)	PA 2DNORTH	80.3		L	8-	14		-0.150
# Neutral site			81.3						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	Bethel Park	6-	18	-12	-13		-1.12	0.56
4/11	A	Shaler Area	9-	4	5	-2	+++	1.12	7.43
4/18	A	Chartiers Valley	4-	6	-2	-4		1.12	1.67
4/19	H	Taylor Allderdice	15-	14	1	3	–	-1.12	-2.33
4/24	H	Fox Chapel	4-	16	-12	-7	––	-1.12	-5.46
4/26	A	Green-Akron	3-	9	-6	-6		1.43		0.13
4/26	N	Archbishop Hoban	7-	14	-7	-9	+	0.00		2.35
4/27	N	Lake LC	6-	9	-3	-4		0.00		1.17
5/02	A	North Hills	7-	11	-4	-3		1.12	-0.83
5/05	H	Erie-Spears	16-	0	16	6	+++	-0.85		9.50
5/07	A	Butler Area	6-	12	-6	-4	–	1.12	-2.34
5/10	H	Kiski Prep	5-	13	-8	-9		-1.12	0.63
5/10	H	Quaker Valley	9-	6	3	-1	++	-1.12	4.39
5/14	H	Cathedral Prep	5-	2	3	4		-1.12	-1.36
5/16	A	Butler Area	8-	14	-6	-4	–	1.12	-2.34
									0.00	13.15

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Bethel Park	6-	18	-0.56
4/24	H	Fox Chapel	4-	16	2.00
5/05	H	Erie-Spears	16-	0	-6.00
10-goal correction: -0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2102
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.95		Natl Power Rank	2102
Natl SOS Rating	69.21		Natl SOS Rank	1554
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	1456
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	2020
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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