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McIntosh Chiefs (13-7)

Region: GA Area01

State: GA

Coach: Mike Muetzel

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	ETOWAH (10-5)	GA Area07	90.7		W	13-	3		0.075
3/01	at Lassiter (12-8)	GA Area07	93.3	9	W	14-	13		0.250
3/06	ALPHARETTA (18-2)	GA Area04	95.2	3	L	7-	8		-0.250
3/10	at East Coweta (1-9)	GA Area01	77.2		W	15-	0		0.000
3/14	MCCALLIE (13-2)	TN 1 East	96.2		L	5-	10		-0.200
3/17	NEWNAN (2-8)	GA Area01	79.9		W	18-	0		0.000
3/20	WHITEWATER (8-9)	GA Area01	83.5		W	18-	1		0.000
3/21	at Starr's Mill (14-4)	GA Area01	89.5		W	21-	2		0.025
3/26	at Harrison (14-4)	GA Area05	94.1	4	L	3-	9		-0.275
3/29	BLESSED TRINITY (7-10)	GA Area03	88.7		W	16-	6		0.025
4/01	NORTHVIEW (11-7)	GA Area04	91.9		W	15-	12		0.100
4/09	vs. Issaquah # (23-1)	WA 1 Div-1	96.1		L	5-	13		-0.175
4/15	at Walton (9-8)	GA Area08	91.4		L	6-	7	ot	-0.325
4/17	WOODWARD (10-8)	GA Area05	87.7		W	10-	2		0.000
4/22	POPE (16-3)	GA Area08	95.3	2	L	10-	11		-0.250
4/25	at Northgate (6-4)	GA Area01	85.0		W	19-	3		0.000
4/30	POPE (16-3)	GA Area08	95.3	2	W	12-	5		0.250
5/03	ST PIUS X (12-5)	GA Area02	93.6	7	W	5-	4		0.175
5/07	WESTMINSTER (10-8)	GA Area03	93.2	10	W	10-	9	ot	0.200
5/10	at Lovett (16-4)	GA Area08	95.4	1	L	6-	7	2ot	-0.200
# Neutral site			88.9						-0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	H	Etowah	13-	3	10	7	+	-0.85	2.93
3/01	A	Lassiter	14-	13	1	0		0.85	0.95
3/06	H	Alpharetta	7-	8	-1	0		-0.85	-0.93
3/10	A	East Coweta	15-	0	15	18	–	0.85	-3.49
3/14	H	McCallie	5-	10	-5	-2	–	-1.09		-3.49
3/17	H	Newnan	18-	0	18	17		-0.85	0.58
3/20	H	Whitewater	18-	1	17	17		-0.85	0.42
3/21	A	Starr's Mill	21-	2	19	9	+++	0.85	9.97
3/26	A	Harrison	3-	9	-6	1	–––	0.85	-6.75
3/29	H	Blessed Trinity	16-	6	10	9		-0.85	1.06
4/01	H	Northview	15-	12	3	6	–	-0.85	-2.93
4/09	N	Issaquah	5-	13	-8	-3	––	0.00		-5.50
4/15	A	Walton	6-	7	-1	3	–	0.85	-3.70
4/17	H	Woodward	10-	2	8	12	–	-0.85	-3.78
4/22	H	Pope	10-	11	-1	0		-0.85	-1.07
4/25	A	Northgate	19-	3	16	14	+	0.85	2.40
4/30	H	Pope	12-	5	7	0	+++	-0.85	6.93
5/03	H	St Pius X	5-	4	1	3	–	-0.85	-2.01
5/07	H	Westminster	10-	9	1	2		-0.85	-1.19
5/10	A	Lovett	6-	7	-1	-2		0.85	0.61
									0.00	-8.99

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/27	H	Etowah	13-	3	0.00
3/10	A	East Coweta	15-	0	3.49
3/17	H	Newnan	18-	0	-0.58
3/20	H	Whitewater	18-	1	-0.42
3/21	A	Starr's Mill	21-	2	-9.00
3/29	H	Blessed Trinity	16-	6	0.00
4/25	A	Northgate	19-	3	-2.40
10-goal correction: -0.45

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	371
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.55		Natl Power Rank	371
Natl SOS Rating	84.64		Natl SOS Rank	260
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	2489
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	746
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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