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Mendocino Lightning (1-8)

Conference: D2Region: CA NCLA-NState: CACoach: Tobin Hahn

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/01at Ukiah (2-9)CA NCLA-N67.7L6- 8 -0.250  
3/15at Casa Grande (10-7)CA NCLA-N78.710L5-15 -0.050  
3/16at Petaluma (15-5)CA NCLA-N83.36L3-16 0.000  
3/22UKIAH (2-9)CA NCLA-N67.7L10-11ot-0.275  
3/26CASA GRANDE (10-7)CA NCLA-N78.710L7-10 -0.075  
3/30at Santa Rosa (13-2)CA NCLA-N83.95L5-11 0.000  
4/05at Rancho Cotati (5-11)CA NCLA-N69.5W10- 3 0.275  
4/26RANCHO COTATI (5-11)CA NCLA-N69.5L10-14 -0.250  
4/27PETALUMA (15-5)CA NCLA-N83.36L3-17 0.000  
 79.2     -0.62  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/01AUkiah6-8-2   0       0.34       -2.14
3/15ACasa Grande5-15-10   -8       0.34       -2.32
3/16APetaluma3-16-13   -11       0.34       -2.20
3/22HUkiah10-11-1   1       -0.34       -1.83
3/26HCasa Grande7-10-3   -7       +-0.34       4.00
3/30ASanta Rosa5-11-6   -10       ++0.34       4.09
4/05ARancho Cotati10-37   -1       +++0.34       7.98
4/26HRancho Cotati10-14-4   0       -0.34       -3.70
4/27HPetaluma3-17-14   -10       -0.34       -3.88
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/15ACasa Grande5-150.00
3/16APetaluma3-162.20
4/27HPetaluma3-174.00
10-goal correction: 0.69

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 66.   Natl CCR Rank 2705
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 67.33   Natl Power Rank 2705
Natl SOS Rating 65.55   Natl SOS Rank 1923
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.62   Natl Quality Win Rank 2490
W-L Pct Rating 0.11   W-L Pct Rank 2569
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 1-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) -5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -9.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -9.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.7



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