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Medfield Warriors (21-4)

Conference: TriVal

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Bob Aronson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	HOPKINTON (11-10)	MA 2	92.1		W	8-	5		0.025
4/01	DOVER-SHERBORN (15-6)	MA 3	94.1		W	8-	7	2ot	0.100
4/03	ASHLAND (4-15)	MA 3	82.5		W	18-	1		0.000
4/05	WELLESLEY (18-5)	MA 2	94.4		W	11-	4		0.100
4/08	at Westwood (11-11)	MA 3	90.5		W	10-	3		0.025
4/11	HOLLISTON (10-9)	MA 2	90.7		W	11-	0		0.000
4/15	at Bellingham (0-19)	MA 3	75.3		W	18-	1		0.000
4/18	at Medway (3-14)	MA 3	83.8		W	19-	0		0.000
4/19	at Glastonbury (15-5)	CT L	94.9		L	7-	8	ot	-0.250
4/23	at Xaverian Bros (16-6)	MA 1	96.3	5	W	6-	5		0.300
4/26	vs. Cheshire HS # (10-10)	CT L	92.9		W	12-	10		0.175
4/30	at Hopkinton (11-10)	MA 2	92.1		W	14-	9		0.075
5/02	at Dover-Sherborn (15-6)	MA 3	94.1		W	9-	7		0.150
5/04	LONGMEADOW (21-2)	MA 2	98.2		L	9-	14		-0.225
5/06	at Ashland (4-15)	MA 3	82.5		W	19-	0		0.000
5/08	WESTWOOD (11-11)	MA 3	90.5		W	16-	3		0.000
5/13	at Holliston (10-9)	MA 2	90.7		W	17-	5		0.000
5/16	BELLINGHAM (0-19)	MA 3	75.3		W	18-	3		0.000
5/20	MEDWAY (3-14)	MA 3	83.8		W	20-	1		0.000
5/21	at St Johns Prep Danvers (18-3)	MA 1	96.5	2	L	6-	7	ot	-0.175
5/30	CENTRAL CATHOLIC (13-8)	MA 2	92.8		W	13-	3		0.025
6/03	WELLESLEY (18-5)	MA 2	94.4		W	12-	2		0.100
6/06	READING MEMORIAL (18-4)	MA 2	94.7	10	W	15-	2		0.125
6/11	vs. Walpole # (21-1)	MA 2	96.5	3	W	10-	5		0.250
6/14	vs. Longmeadow # (21-2)	MA 2	98.2		L	10-	14		-0.200
# Neutral site			85.9						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	H	Hopkinton	8-	5	3	9	––	-1.09	-5.68
4/01	H	Dover-Sherborn	8-	7	1	6	––	-1.09	-4.80
4/03	H	Ashland	18-	1	17	20	–	-1.09	-3.25
4/05	H	Wellesley	11-	4	7	6		-1.09	0.97
4/08	A	Westwood	10-	3	7	9	–	1.09	-2.02
4/11	H	Holliston	11-	0	11	12		-1.09	-1.08
4/15	A	Bellingham	18-	1	17	21	–	1.09	-3.61
4/18	A	Medway	19-	0	19	16	+	1.09	3.03
4/19	A	Glastonbury	7-	8	-1	0		1.15		-1.07
4/23	A	Xaverian Bros	6-	5	1	-2	+	1.09	2.97
4/26	N	Cheshire HS	12-	10	2	3		0.00		-1.20
4/30	A	Hopkinton	14-	9	5	7		1.09	-1.50
5/02	A	Dover-Sherborn	9-	7	2	4		1.09	-1.62
5/04	H	Longmeadow	9-	14	-5	-1	––	-1.15		-4.02
5/06	A	Ashland	19-	0	19	18		1.09	0.93
5/08	H	Westwood	16-	3	13	11		-1.09	1.80
5/13	A	Holliston	17-	5	12	10	+	1.09	2.10
5/16	H	Bellingham	18-	3	15	23	–––	-1.09	-7.79
5/20	H	Medway	20-	1	19	18		-1.09	0.85
5/21	A	St Johns Prep Danvers	6-	7	-1	-3		1.09	1.51
5/30	H	Central Catholic	13-	3	10	9		-1.09	0.89
6/03	H	Wellesley	12-	2	10	6	+	-1.09	3.97
6/06	H	Reading Memorial	15-	2	13	5	+++	-1.09	7.62
6/11	N	Walpole	10-	5	5	0	++	0.00	4.71
6/14	N	Longmeadow	10-	14	-4	-2		0.00		-1.87
									0.00	-8.15

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Ashland	18-	1	3.25
4/11	H	Holliston	11-	0	1.08
4/15	A	Bellingham	18-	1	3.61
4/18	A	Medway	19-	0	-3.03
5/06	A	Ashland	19-	0	-0.93
5/08	H	Westwood	16-	3	-1.80
5/13	A	Holliston	17-	5	-2.10
5/16	H	Bellingham	18-	3	7.79
5/20	H	Medway	20-	1	-0.85
5/30	H	Central Catholic	13-	3	0.00
6/03	H	Wellesley	12-	2	0.00
6/06	H	Reading Memorial	15-	2	-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	172
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.12		Natl Power Rank	171
Natl SOS Rating	78.71		Natl SOS Rank	624
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	522
W-L Pct Rating	0.84		W-L Pct Rank	174
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	21-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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