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Cary-Middle Creek Mustangs (9-7)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Brent Holloway

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/25	at Millbrook (1-10)	NC Indep	67.2		W	10-	0		0.000
2/27	WAKEFIELD (15-4)	NC 4A	88.2	7	L	6-	11		-0.175
3/18	APEX (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	1-	12		-0.100
3/21	ATHENS DRIVE (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		W	11-	3		0.100
3/26	GRAYSLAKE NORTH (7-12)	IL NorSub	79.8		W	15-	0		0.125
3/27	GREEN HOPE (9-7)	NC 4A	84.1		L	14-	15		-0.250
4/08	at Cary HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	L	5-	10		-0.175
4/11	at Panther Creek (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	12-	3		0.100
4/16	MILLBROOK (1-10)	NC Indep	67.2		W	14-	3		0.000
4/18	at Apex (20-4)	NC 4A	91.6	3	L	8-	10		-0.050
4/19	WILMINGTON NEW HANOVER (1-12)	NC 4A	71.7		W	11-	5		0.000
4/22	at Athens Drive (9-11)	NC 4A	78.3		W	13-	3		0.150
4/25	at Green Hope (9-7)	NC 4A	84.1		L	11-	12	ot	-0.175
4/26	WILMINGTON ASHLEY (4-11)	NC 4A	77.2		W	16-	8		0.100
4/29	CARY HS (14-5)	NC 4A	87.0	10	L	6-	7		-0.225
5/02	PANTHER CREEK (5-13)	NC 4A	73.6		W	11-	5		0.025
			82.6						-0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/25	A	Millbrook	10-	0	10	11		1.35	-0.88
2/27	H	Wakefield	6-	11	-5	-3	–	-1.35	-2.45
3/18	H	Apex	1-	12	-11	-6	––	-1.35	-5.35
3/21	H	Athens Drive	11-	3	8	6		-1.35	1.65
3/26	H	Grayslake North	15-	0	15	5	+++	-1.21		10.45
3/27	H	Green Hope	14-	15	-1	0		-1.35	-0.54
4/08	A	Cary HS	5-	10	-5	-3		1.35	-1.77
4/11	A	Panther Creek	12-	3	9	6	+	1.35	2.63
4/16	H	Millbrook	14-	3	11	14	–	-1.35	-2.57
4/18	A	Apex	8-	10	-2	-8	+++	1.35	6.34
4/19	H	Wilmington New Hanover	11-	5	6	10	–	-1.35	-3.80
4/22	A	Athens Drive	13-	3	10	4	+++	1.35	6.34
4/25	A	Green Hope	11-	12	-1	-3	+	1.35	2.15
4/26	H	Wilmington Ashley	16-	8	8	6		-1.35	1.76
4/29	H	Cary HS	6-	7	-1	-1		-1.35	-0.46
5/02	H	Panther Creek	11-	5	6	9	–	-1.35	-3.06
									0.00	10.45

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/25	A	Millbrook	10-	0	0.88
3/18	H	Apex	1-	12	1.00
3/26	H	Grayslake North	15-	0	-5.00
4/16	H	Millbrook	14-	3	2.57
4/22	A	Athens Drive	13-	3	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1512
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.15		Natl Power Rank	1512
Natl SOS Rating	72.16		Natl SOS Rank	1264
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	2422
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1103
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3


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