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Middletown Islanders (13-2)

Region: RI Div-2S

State: RI

Coach: Lucien Forbes

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	at East Greenwich (11-3)	RI Div-2S	90.1	9	L	10-	11	2ot	-0.325
4/08	TOLL GATE (6-8)	RI Div-2S	86.3		W	10-	1		0.025
4/09	at Tiverton (0-12)	RI Div-2S	80.3		W	15-	1		0.000
4/17	at Mount St Charles (13-3)	RI Div-2N	93.0	5	W	9-	8		0.300
4/19	SOUTH KINGSTOWN (3-10)	RI Div-2S	84.3		W	14-	3		0.000
4/22	EAST PROVIDENCE (2-9)	RI Div-2N	84.4		W	14-	2		0.000
4/30	SCITUATE (8-5)	RI Div-2N	88.5		W	18-	2		0.050
5/01	at Smithfield (4-8)	RI Div-2N	85.3		W	11-	1		0.050
5/06	at Toll Gate (6-8)	RI Div-2S	86.3		W	10-	6		0.075
5/08	EAST GREENWICH (11-3)	RI Div-2S	90.1	9	W	10-	4		0.125
5/12	WARWICK VETS MEM (0-2)	RI Indep	81.1		W	14-	0		0.000
5/14	TIVERTON (0-12)	RI Div-2S	80.3		W	14-	0		0.000
5/16	at South Kingstown (3-10)	RI Div-2S	84.3		W	14-	2		0.000
5/28	SCITUATE (8-5)	RI Div-2N	88.5		W	12-	4		0.050
6/01	vs. Mount St Charles # (13-3)	RI Div-2N	93.0	5	L	6-	12		-0.225
# Neutral site			78.1						0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	A	East Greenwich	10-	11	-1	3	–	1.09	-3.85
4/08	H	Toll Gate	10-	1	9	9		-1.09	-0.29
4/09	A	Tiverton	15-	1	14	15		1.09	-1.13
4/17	A	Mount St Charles	9-	8	1	-2	+	1.09	3.42
4/19	H	South Kingstown	14-	3	11	12		-1.09	-0.89
4/22	H	East Providence	14-	2	12	10		-1.09	1.62
4/30	H	Scituate	18-	2	16	8	+++	-1.09	8.38
5/01	A	Smithfield	11-	1	10	8		1.09	1.77
5/06	A	Toll Gate	10-	6	4	7	–	1.09	-3.10
5/08	H	East Greenwich	10-	4	6	5		-1.09	0.96
5/12	H	Warwick Vets Mem	14-	0	14	16		-1.09	-1.60
5/14	H	Tiverton	14-	0	14	17	–	-1.09	-3.32
5/16	A	South Kingstown	14-	2	12	10	+	1.09	2.30
5/28	H	Scituate	12-	4	8	8		-1.09	0.38
6/01	N	Mount St Charles	6-	12	-6	-1	––	0.00	-4.67
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	Tiverton	15-	1	1.13
4/19	H	South Kingstown	14-	3	0.89
4/22	H	East Providence	14-	2	-1.62
4/30	H	Scituate	18-	2	-6.00
5/01	A	Smithfield	11-	1	0.00
5/12	H	Warwick Vets Mem	14-	0	1.60
5/14	H	Tiverton	14-	0	3.32
5/16	A	South Kingstown	14-	2	-2.30
10-goal correction: -0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	500
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.06		Natl Power Rank	500
Natl SOS Rating	63.69		Natl SOS Rank	2112
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.13		Natl Quality Win Rank	1126
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	125
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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