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Mercersburg Academy Blue Storm (2-12)

Region: PA Indep

State: PA

Coach: Todd McGuire

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	ST JAMES (6-10)	DC MAC	82.8		W	6-	5		0.125
4/04	at Hempfield (13-12)	PA LL04	92.5		L	3-	12		-0.075
4/09	LAWRENCEVILLE (17-2)	NJ Private	99.6		L	1-	17		0.000
4/12	at Hill School (11-5)	PA Indep	96.1		L	3-	17		0.000
4/16	at Carlisle (14-7)	PA Mid 1	89.6		L	2-	7		-0.150
4/19	at Peddie School (14-4)	NJ Private	97.5		L	3-	13		0.000
4/23	at Highland School (15-3)	VA 2 Delaney	92.2		L	6-	17		-0.075
4/26	at Hun School (11-9)	NJ Private	94.4		L	4-	11		-0.025
4/30	ST JOHNS CATHOLIC PREP (17-5)	MD C MIAA	89.0		L	7-	10		-0.225
5/03	at Bullis (13-7)	DC IAC	91.7		L	1-	18		-0.100
5/04	WYOMING SEMINARY (9-7)	PA Indep	90.0		L	4-	7		-0.175
5/10	BLAIR ACADEMY (2-16)	NJ Private	78.5		W	6-	4		0.000
5/14	NORTHERN YORK BLACK (8-6)	PA Mid 1	86.0		L	5-	16		-0.300
5/16	at Chambersburg (13-6)	PA Mid 1	88.1		L	2-	14		-0.200
			87.6						-1.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	St James	6-	5	1	5	––	-1.50		-4.45
4/04	A	Hempfield	3-	12	-9	-7	–	0.77		-2.47
4/09	H	Lawrenceville	1-	17	-16	-11	––	-1.32		-4.55
4/12	A	Hill School	3-	17	-14	-14		1.27	-0.34
4/16	A	Carlisle	2-	7	-5	-4		0.77		-1.39
4/19	A	Peddie School	3-	13	-10	-12	+	1.32		2.05
4/23	A	Highland School	6-	17	-11	-7	–	1.83		-3.70
4/26	A	Hun School	4-	11	-7	-9		1.32		1.95
4/30	H	St Johns Catholic Prep	7-	10	-3	-1		-0.93		-1.73
5/03	A	Bullis	1-	18	-17	-6	–––	1.36		10.75
5/04	H	Wyoming Seminary	4-	7	-3	-3		-1.27	0.34
5/10	H	Blair Academy	6-	4	2	10	–––	-1.32		-7.61
5/14	H	Northern York Black	5-	16	-11	2	–––	-0.77		12.58
5/16	A	Chambersburg	2-	14	-12	-2	–––	0.77		-9.89
									0.00	-55.11

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	Lawrenceville	1-	17	4.55
4/12	A	Hill School	3-	17	0.34
4/19	A	Peddie School	3-	13	-2.05
4/23	A	Highland School	6-	17	1.00
5/03	A	Bullis	1-	18	7.00
5/14	H	Northern York Black	5-	16	0.00
5/16	A	Chambersburg	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.92

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	1121
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.78		Natl Power Rank	1121
Natl SOS Rating	81.88		Natl SOS Rank	395
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	2867
W-L Pct Rating	0.14		W-L Pct Rank	2507
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.0


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