High School Computer Ratings

Mercer Island Islanders (17-8)

Region: WA 1 Div-1

State: WA

Coach: Ian O'Hearn

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/07	NORTHSHORE-BOTHELL (14-4)	WA 2 Cascade	86.0		W	16-	4	0.100
3/08	at Oregon Episcopal (16-4)	OR Columb	93.6		L	4-	8	-0.175
3/09	at West Linn (11-9)	OR Rivers	90.3		L	6-	7	-0.250
3/12	EASTLAKE (3-13)	WA 1 Div-1	80.2		W	7-	2	0.000
3/14	ALTA (9-9)	UT A-South	87.3		W	12-	6	0.125
3/15	LAKE CITY (13-3)	ID North	79.1		W	15-	3	0.000
3/18	at Issaquah (23-1)	WA 1 Div-1	96.7	1	L	5-	14	-0.100
3/21	at Curtis (8-7)	WA 1 Div-1	87.3	6	W	12-	10	0.150
3/25	at Lakeside (8-8)	WA 1 Div-1	86.9	8	W	16-	2	0.125
3/27	at Roosevelt (0-14)	WA 1 Div-1	78.4		W	17-	2	0.000
4/03	at Exeter HS (18-3)	NH 1	90.8		L	5-	6	-0.225
4/04	vs. Pinkerton # (17-4)	NH 1	92.7		L	6-	8	-0.200
4/05	at Cape Elizabeth (11-8)	ME West-B	90.4		W	10-	8	0.250
4/06	at Ipswich (11-7)	MA 3	90.3		W	16-	4	0.250
4/08	PUYALLUP (8-8)	WA 1 Div-1	85.8	10	W	13-	4	0.075
4/11	at Bainbridge Island (20-3)	WA 1 Div-1	95.7	2	L	4-	13	-0.075
4/15	LYNNWOOD (3-11)	WA 1 Div-1	80.4		W	15-	2	0.000
4/16	GARFIELD (7-9)	WA 1 Div-1	86.1	9	W	13-	5	0.125
4/22	at Skyline (16-6)	WA 1 Div-1	89.8	4	L	5-	6	-0.325
4/26	BELLEVUE (9-12)	WA 1 Div-1	87.3	7	W	11-	5	0.150
4/28	at Overlake (11-5)	WA 2 Eastsde	78.8		W	16-	2	0.000
5/02	at Vashon Island (5-9)	WA 1 Div-1	83.0		W	15-	4	0.025
5/06	MAPLE VALLEY (9-6)	WA 1 Div-1	87.4	5	W	11-	6	0.100
5/09	CURTIS (8-7)	WA 1 Div-1	87.3	6	W	17-	11	0.100
5/14	at Issaquah (23-1)	WA 1 Div-1	96.7	1	L	4-	10	-0.100
# Neutral site			86.6					0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	H	Northshore-Bothell	16-	4	12	6	++	-1.19		5.71
3/08	A	Oregon Episcopal	4-	8	-4	-3		0.95		-0.58
3/09	A	West Linn	6-	7	-1	0		0.95		-0.79
3/12	H	Eastlake	7-	2	5	12	–––	-1.06	-6.56
3/14	H	Alta	12-	6	6	5		-1.18		1.02
3/15	H	Lake City	15-	3	12	13		-1.27		-1.28
3/18	A	Issaquah	5-	14	-9	-6	–	1.06	-3.19
3/21	A	Curtis	12-	10	2	4		1.06	-1.80
3/25	A	Lakeside	16-	2	14	5	+++	1.06	9.40
3/27	A	Roosevelt	17-	2	15	12	+	1.06	2.56
4/03	A	Exeter HS	5-	6	-1	-1		0.96		-0.31
4/04	N	Pinkerton	6-	8	-2	-2		0.00		-0.35
4/05	A	Cape Elizabeth	10-	8	2	0	+	0.94		2.23
4/06	A	Ipswich	16-	4	12	0	+++	1.07		12.24
4/08	H	Puyallup	13-	4	9	7		-1.06	1.63
4/11	A	Bainbridge Island	4-	13	-9	-7	–	1.06	-2.26
4/15	H	Lynnwood	15-	2	13	13		-1.06	-0.27
4/16	H	Garfield	13-	5	8	5	+	-1.06	2.69
4/22	A	Skyline	5-	6	-1	3	––	1.06	-4.35
4/26	H	Bellevue	11-	5	6	4		-1.06	1.98
4/28	A	Overlake	16-	2	14	11	+	1.19		2.87
5/02	A	Vashon Island	15-	4	11	9		1.06	1.56
5/06	H	Maple Valley	11-	6	5	6		-1.06	-1.28
5/09	H	Curtis	17-	11	6	6		-1.06	0.08
5/14	A	Issaquah	4-	10	-6	-6		1.06	-0.19
									0.00	20.76