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Morris Hills Knights (6-13)

Conference: Klank

Region: NJ Grp-II

State: NJ

Coach: Terry Reilly

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Hanover Park (5-13)	NJ Grp-III	90.6		L	7-	12		-0.100
4/03	VERONA (11-8)	NJ Grp-I	87.9		L	4-	5	ot	-0.300
4/07	at West Essex Regional (8-8)	NJ Grp-I	96.4		L	2-	17		0.000
4/09	at Summit (15-6)	NJ Grp-I	97.8	10	L	2-	15		0.000
4/12	LIVINGSTON (4-14)	NJ Grp-III	79.9		L	4-	5		-0.325
4/14	at Paramus Catholic (3-13)	NJ Grp-A	72.3		W	12-	9		0.125
4/17	MORRISTOWN (7-7)	NJ Grp-II	92.9		L	8-	15		-0.125
4/19	at West Morris Central (17-4)	NJ Grp-II	97.9	9	L	3-	17		0.000
4/21	at Ranney School (8-6)	NJ Private	83.1		W	7-	6	ot	0.200
4/23	MORRIS KNOLLS (5-12)	NJ Grp-III	79.3		W	3-	2		0.150
4/26	PEQUANNOCK REGIONAL (5-13)	NJ Grp-I	75.3		W	11-	2		0.075
4/29	at Mount Olive (8-10)	NJ Grp-II	87.3		L	5-	10		-0.175
5/01	at Mendham (10-6)	NJ Grp-II	97.3		L	2-	10		0.000
5/03	MORRIS CATHOLIC (10-8)	NJ Grp-B	87.4		W	11-	7		0.200
5/05	at Delbarton (18-4)	NJ Grp-A	98.9	3	L	3-	17		0.000
5/07	at Roxbury (12-7)	NJ Grp-III	91.9		L	5-	11		-0.100
5/14	at West Orange (0-15)	NJ Grp-IV	64.9		W	11-	4		0.000
5/20	at Chatham (19-2)	NJ Grp-I	98.8	4	L	2-	16		0.000
5/22	at Morris Catholic (10-8)	NJ Grp-B	87.4		L	4-	10		-0.225
			80.6						-0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Hanover Park	7-	12	-5	-6		1.37	1.27
4/03	H	Verona	4-	5	-1	2	–	-1.37	-3.36
4/07	A	West Essex Regional	2-	17	-15	-12	–	1.37	-3.19
4/09	A	Summit	2-	15	-13	-15	+	1.37	2.07
4/12	H	Livingston	4-	5	-1	3	––	-1.37	-4.27
4/14	A	Paramus Catholic	12-	9	3	5		1.37	-1.66
4/17	H	Morristown	8-	15	-7	-5		-1.37	-1.87
4/19	A	West Morris Central	3-	17	-14	-16		1.37	1.77
4/21	A	Ranney School	7-	6	1	2		1.37	-0.58
4/23	H	Morris Knolls	3-	2	1	4	–	-1.37	-3.08
4/26	H	Pequannock Regional	11-	2	9	7		-1.37	1.85
4/29	A	Mount Olive	5-	10	-5	-3	–	1.37	-2.28
5/01	A	Mendham	2-	10	-8	-14	++	1.37	5.87
5/03	H	Morris Catholic	11-	7	4	2	+	-1.37	2.29
5/05	A	Delbarton	3-	17	-14	-20	+++	1.37	6.29
5/07	A	Roxbury	5-	11	-6	-6		1.37	0.13
5/14	A	West Orange	11-	4	7	10	–	1.37	-2.55
5/20	A	Chatham	2-	16	-14	-20	+++	1.37	6.27
5/22	A	Morris Catholic	4-	10	-6	-1	––	1.37	-4.97
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	A	West Essex Regional	2-	17	3.19
4/09	A	Summit	2-	15	-2.07
4/19	A	West Morris Central	3-	17	-1.77
5/05	A	Delbarton	3-	17	-6.29
5/20	A	Chatham	2-	16	-6.27
10-goal correction: -0.70

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1582
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.71		Natl Power Rank	1582
Natl SOS Rating	69.11		Natl SOS Rank	1566
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	2475
W-L Pct Rating	0.32		W-L Pct Rank	2041
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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