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Middlebury Union Tigers (12-6)

Region: VT 1 NVAC

State: VT

Coach: Jono Chapin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/14	at Champlain Valley (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	L	9-	10	2ot	-0.250
4/17	MT MANSFIELD UNION (10-8)	VT 1 NVAC	87.0	4	W	14-	2		0.175
4/19	at Mt Anthony Union (8-9)	VT 1 MVLI	81.6	9	W	11-	4		0.025
4/26	at Bellows Free Academy (10-7)	VT 1 NVAC	86.1	5	L	5-	8		-0.325
4/29	ESSEX JUNCTION (16-3)	VT 1 NVAC	93.3	1	L	4-	9		-0.250
5/01	at Burlington (0-14)	VT 1 NVAC	75.8		W	17-	1		0.000
5/03	at Woodstock (9-6)	VT 1 MVLI	84.6	6	W	20-	7		0.050
5/05	SOUTH BURLINGTON (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	W	16-	6		0.100
5/08	at Rutland (5-12)	VT 1 MVLI	78.9	10	W	10-	2		0.000
5/10	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	L	11-	12	ot	-0.275
5/14	at Mt Mansfield Union (10-8)	VT 1 NVAC	87.0	4	L	9-	15		-0.300
5/16	BELLOWS FREE ACADEMY (10-7)	VT 1 NVAC	86.1	5	W	11-	9		0.150
5/21	at Essex Junction (16-3)	VT 1 NVAC	93.3	1	W	12-	9		0.275
5/23	BURLINGTON (0-14)	VT 1 NVAC	75.8		W	14-	1		0.000
5/28	at South Burlington (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	W	15-	12		0.125
5/31	WOODSTOCK (9-6)	VT 1 MVLI	84.6	6	W	19-	6		0.025
6/07	WOODSTOCK (9-6)	VT 1 MVLI	84.6	6	W	18-	6		0.025
6/11	at Champlain Valley (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	L	7-	9		-0.250
			87.1						-0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/14	A	Champlain Valley	9-	10	-1	0		0.57	-1.15
4/17	H	Mt Mansfield Union	14-	2	12	3	+++	-0.57	8.52
4/19	A	Mt Anthony Union	11-	4	7	9		0.57	-1.62
4/26	A	Bellows Free Academy	5-	8	-3	3	–––	0.57	-6.25
4/29	H	Essex Junction	4-	9	-5	0	––	-0.57	-4.66
5/01	A	Burlington	17-	1	16	12	+	0.57	3.93
5/03	A	Woodstock	20-	7	13	8	++	0.57	5.16
5/05	H	South Burlington	16-	6	10	6	++	-0.57	4.14
5/08	A	Rutland	10-	2	8	11	–	0.57	-2.50
5/10	H	Champlain Valley	11-	12	-1	1	–	-0.57	-2.28
5/14	A	Mt Mansfield Union	9-	15	-6	2	–––	0.57	-8.34
5/16	H	Bellows Free Academy	11-	9	2	4	–	-0.57	-2.38
5/21	A	Essex Junction	12-	9	3	-1	++	0.57	4.47
5/23	H	Burlington	14-	1	13	13		-0.57	-0.20
5/28	A	South Burlington	15-	12	3	5		0.57	-1.73
5/31	H	Woodstock	19-	6	13	9	++	-0.57	4.02
6/07	H	Woodstock	18-	6	12	9	+	-0.57	3.02
6/11	A	Champlain Valley	7-	9	-2	0	–	0.57	-2.15
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	H	Mt Mansfield Union	14-	2	-2.00
5/01	A	Burlington	17-	1	-3.93
5/03	A	Woodstock	20-	7	-3.00
5/05	H	South Burlington	16-	6	0.00
5/23	H	Burlington	14-	1	0.20
5/31	H	Woodstock	19-	6	-3.00
6/07	H	Woodstock	18-	6	-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.76

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	892
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.19		Natl Power Rank	892
Natl SOS Rating	81.38		Natl SOS Rank	438
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	2566
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	739
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	10-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	4.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.7


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