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Archbishop Moeller Crusaders (13-6)

Conference: MIDWEST

Region: OH 1 Reg 4

State: OH

Coach: Tom Kennedy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	at Mariemont (13-6)	OH 2 Reg 4	90.8		W	13-	3		0.150
3/29	THOMAS WORTHINGTON (14-7)	OH 1 Reg 1	97.4	5	W	7-	6		0.300
4/04	WORTHINGTON KILBOURNE (19-4)	OH 1 Reg 2	98.5	3	L	8-	18		-0.100
4/05	at Upper Arlington (19-3)	OH 1 Reg 1	98.9	2	L	9-	18		-0.075
4/11	at Birmingham-Seaholm (11-9)	MI 1	92.1		W	13-	6		0.175
4/12	at Detroit Country Day (5-16)	MI 2	87.0		W	13-	4		0.050
4/15	CINCINNATI INDIAN HILL (11-7)	OH 1 Reg 4	94.0		W	11-	6		0.175
4/19	COVINGTON CATHOLIC (4-7)	KY Div-2	65.1		W	24-	2		0.000
4/24	ELDER-CINCINNATI (8-4)	OH 4 South	81.4		W	21-	1		0.000
4/30	at Dublin Scioto (12-8)	OH 1 Reg 2	96.3	7	L	13-	15		-0.175
5/03	WESTERN RESERVE ACAD (16-3)	OH 1 Indep	99.0	1	L	11-	15		-0.100
5/07	at Mason (10-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	88.9		W	18-	5		0.050
5/09	at Cincinnati Sycamore (19-4)	OH 1 Reg 4	95.5	10	W	14-	11		0.275
5/14	at Cincinnati St Xavier (14-8)	OH 1 Reg 4	95.7	9	W	14-	13		0.275
5/17	vs. Dublin Scioto # (12-8)	OH 1 Reg 2	96.3	7	L	6-	15		-0.200
5/18	vs. Shady Side Academy # (9-8)	PA 1DNORTH	91.8		W	10-	9		0.125
5/21	at Lakota West (6-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	87.8		W	20-	6		0.025
5/24	LAKOTA EAST (0-11)	OH 1 Reg 4	78.4		W	21-	1		0.000
5/28	CINCINNATI INDIAN HILL (11-7)	OH 1 Reg 4	94.0		L	9-	15		-0.325
# Neutral site			87.7						0.63

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Mariemont	13-	3	10	4	+++	1.51		6.03
3/29	H	Thomas Worthington	7-	6	1	-2	+	-1.28	3.24
4/04	H	Worthington Kilbourne	8-	18	-10	-6	––	-1.28	-4.20
4/05	A	Upper Arlington	9-	18	-9	-7		1.28	-1.91
4/11	A	Birmingham-Seaholm	13-	6	7	3	++	1.35		4.17
4/12	A	Detroit Country Day	13-	4	9	8		1.35		1.04
4/15	H	Cincinnati Indian Hill	11-	6	5	3	+	-1.28	2.29
4/19	H	Covington Catholic	24-	2	22	32	–––	-1.16		10.35
4/24	H	Elder-Cincinnati	21-	1	20	16	+	-1.50		3.62
4/30	A	Dublin Scioto	13-	15	-2	-3		1.28	0.92
5/03	H	Western Reserve Acad	11-	15	-4	-6	+	-1.28	2.17
5/07	A	Mason	18-	5	13	8	++	1.28	4.85
5/09	A	Cincinnati Sycamore	14-	11	3	-1	+	1.28	3.66
5/14	A	Cincinnati St Xavier	14-	13	1	-1		1.28	1.54
5/17	N	Dublin Scioto	6-	15	-9	-2	–––	0.00	-7.36
5/18	N	Shady Side Academy	10-	9	1	5	–	0.00		-3.54
5/21	A	Lakota West	20-	6	14	9	++	1.28	4.73
5/24	H	Lakota East	21-	1	20	21		-1.28	-1.20
5/28	H	Cincinnati Indian Hill	9-	15	-6	3	–––	-1.28	-8.71
									0.00	0.96

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	A	Mariemont	13-	3	0.00
4/04	H	Worthington Kilbourne	8-	18	0.00
4/19	H	Covington Catholic	24-	2	10.35
4/24	H	Elder-Cincinnati	21-	1	-3.62
5/07	A	Mason	18-	5	-3.00
5/21	A	Lakota West	20-	6	-4.00
5/24	H	Lakota East	21-	1	1.20
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	150
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.31		Natl Power Rank	149
Natl SOS Rating	82.75		Natl SOS Rank	357
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.63		Natl Quality Win Rank	496
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	655
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	9.3


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