| Region: MD 21 West | State: MD | Coach: Dan Sageman |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/22 | vs. South Carroll # (11-5) | MD 21 West | 94.4 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.300 |
3/22 | at NorthEast AA (11-6) | MD 32 East | 92.5 | | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.225 |
3/26 | WILDE LAKE (4-9) | MD 32 South | 85.5 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.075 |
3/28 | at South Carroll (11-5) | MD 21 West | 94.4 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.325 |
4/01 | at Hammond (3-12) | MD 32 South | 81.7 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.025 |
4/11 | at Oakland Mills (1-12) | MD 21 West | 74.8 | | W | 17- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/15 | HOWARD (9-8) | MD 32 South | 88.5 | | W | 14- | 11 | | 0.150 |
4/16 | MOUNT HEBRON (5-9) | MD 32 South | 86.5 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.075 |
4/18 | at Atholton (6-7) | MD 32 South | 89.7 | | L | 8- | 9 | | -0.275 |
4/22 | RESERVOIR (12-5) | MD 32 South | 91.7 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.175 |
4/25 | at River Hill (7-7) | MD 32 South | 91.3 | | W | 13- | 7 | | 0.225 |
4/29 | at Centennial (13-6) | MD 32 South | 94.3 | | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.200 |
5/02 | LONG REACH (2-13) | MD 32 South | 76.2 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | WINTERS MILL (10-8) | MD 32 West | 91.8 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.325 |
5/06 | vs. Glenelg HS # (18-0) | MD 21 West | 96.9 | 4 | L | 6- | 14 | | -0.150 |
5/10 | CATOCTIN (3-11) | MD 21 West | 78.5 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/13 | CENTURY (12-6) | MD 21 West | 93.8 | | L | 5- | 7 | | -0.275 |
| # Neutral site | | 84.2 | | | | | | 0.35 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | N | South Carroll | 10- | 9 | 1 | -2 | + | 0.00 | 3.22 | |
3/22 | A | NorthEast AA | 10- | 5 | 5 | 1 | ++ | 0.93 | 4.40 | |
3/26 | H | Wilde Lake | 12- | 4 | 8 | 7 | | -0.93 | 0.82 | |
3/28 | A | South Carroll | 8- | 7 | 1 | -3 | ++ | 0.93 | 4.15 | |
4/01 | A | Hammond | 9- | 4 | 5 | 9 | – | 0.93 | -3.54 | |
4/11 | A | Oakland Mills | 17- | 1 | 16 | 16 | | 0.93 | 0.20 | |
4/15 | H | Howard | 14- | 11 | 3 | 4 | | -0.93 | -1.02 | |
4/16 | H | Mount Hebron | 17- | 7 | 10 | 7 | + | -0.93 | 3.13 | |
4/18 | A | Atholton | 8- | 9 | -1 | 1 | – | 0.93 | -2.27 | |
4/22 | H | Reservoir | 12- | 4 | 8 | 3 | ++ | -0.93 | 4.56 | |
4/25 | A | River Hill | 13- | 7 | 6 | 1 | ++ | 0.93 | 5.39 | |
4/29 | A | Centennial | 7- | 10 | -3 | -2 | | 0.93 | -0.94 | |
5/02 | H | Long Reach | 15- | 3 | 12 | 16 | – | -0.93 | -3.79 | |
5/05 | H | Winters Mill | 7- | 8 | -1 | 3 | –– | -0.93 | -4.21 | |
5/06 | N | Glenelg HS | 6- | 14 | -8 | -4 | –– | 0.00 | -4.22 | |
5/10 | H | Catoctin | 16- | 5 | 11 | 14 | – | -0.93 | -2.99 | |
5/13 | H | Century | 5- | 7 | -2 | 1 | – | -0.93 | -2.88 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/11 | A | Oakland Mills | 17- | 1 | -0.20 |
4/16 | H | Mount Hebron | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
5/02 | H | Long Reach | 15- | 3 | 3.79 |
5/10 | H | Catoctin | 16- | 5 | 2.99 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.39 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 310 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 94.15 | | Natl Power Rank | 310 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 74.82 | | Natl SOS Rank | 980 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 809 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.71 | | W-L Pct Rank | 564 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
|
