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Moravian Academy Lions (11-7)

Region: PA PVLL-LVState: PACoach: Mark Barnes

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/25at Saucon Valley (8-10)PA PVLL-LV87.8W8- 2 0.100  
3/26at Perkiomen School (5-10)PA Noeast86.3W15- 3 0.000  
3/29at William Allen (5-11)PA PVLL-LV86.7W8- 4 0.050  
4/01EASTON (14-5)PA PVLL-LV95.1L6-10 -0.175  
4/03PARKLAND (11-6)PA PVLL-LV94.1L4-10 -0.175  
4/05at Lancaster Cou Day (12-3)PA LL0487.0W4- 2 0.150  
4/07at New Hope/Solebury (0-19)PA Indep84.2W13- 1 0.000  
4/08WYOMING SEMINARY (9-7)PA Indep90.0W10- 6 0.175  
4/11at Southern Lehigh (11-5)PA PVLL-LV93.5L7-10 -0.150  
4/15at Allentown Cath Central (9-6)PA PVLL-LV91.3L6- 7ot-0.250  
4/19at Shipley (11-10)PA Noeast90.7L7-11 -0.250  
4/21NEW HOPE/SOLEBURY (0-19)PA Indep84.2W15- 3 0.000  
4/24at Emmaus (16-3)PA PVLL-LV97.0L3-12 -0.025  
4/29NAZARETH HS (4-15)PA PVLL-LV86.9W17- 1 0.000  
5/01ALLENTOWN CATH CENTRAL (9-6)PA PVLL-LV91.3W10- 9 0.200  
5/06SAUCON VALLEY (8-10)PA PVLL-LV87.8W13- 1 0.050  
5/09at Wyoming Seminary (9-7)PA Indep90.0W12- 9 0.225  
5/13at Easton (14-5)PA PVLL-LV95.1L7- 9 -0.100  
 80.1     -0.17  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/25ASaucon Valley8-26   6       1.27       0.06
3/26APerkiomen School15-312   11       1.27       0.70
3/29AWilliam Allen8-44   8       1.27       -3.74
4/01HEaston6-10-4   -3       -1.27       -0.97
4/03HParkland4-10-6   -3       -1.27       -2.50
4/05ALancaster Cou Day4-22   4       0.77       -1.62
4/07ANew Hope/Solebury13-112   13       1.27       -0.98
4/08HWyoming Seminary10-64   3       -1.27       0.73
4/11ASouthern Lehigh7-10-3   -4       1.27       0.90
4/15AAllentown Cath Central6-7-1   0       1.27       -0.80
4/19AShipley7-11-4   0       1.27       -3.70
4/21HNew Hope/Solebury15-312   16       -1.27       -3.52
4/24AEmmaus3-12-9   -9       1.27       0.09
4/29HNazareth HS17-116   10       ++-1.27       5.71
5/01HAllentown Cath Central10-91   2       -1.27       -1.33
5/06HSaucon Valley13-112   8       +-1.27       3.53
5/09AWyoming Seminary12-93   1       +1.27       2.27
5/13AEaston7-9-2   -6       +1.27       3.56
         0.00-1.62

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/26APerkiomen School15-3-0.70
4/07ANew Hope/Solebury13-10.98
4/21HNew Hope/Solebury15-33.52
4/29HNazareth HS17-1-5.71
5/06HSaucon Valley13-1-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 92.   Natl CCR Rank 543
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.42   Natl Power Rank 543
Natl SOS Rating 66.99   Natl SOS Rank 1775
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.17   Natl Quality Win Rank 1751
W-L Pct Rating 0.61   W-L Pct Rank 910
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -9.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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