| Region: AZ 2 East | State: AZ | Coach: Geoff Larsen |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/06 | HORIZON (7-6) | AZ 2 North | 77.2 | 6 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.200 |
2/13 | at Notre Dame Prep (13-1) | AZ 2 North | 87.1 | 1 | L | 8- | 15 | | 0.000 |
2/16 | PINNACLE (2-10) | AZ 2 North | 71.5 | 9 | L | 6- | 15 | | -0.300 |
2/20 | HAMILTON (11-3) | AZ 2 East | 82.1 | 3 | L | 5- | 13 | | -0.125 |
2/23 | at Oro Valley (0-12) | AZ 2 South | 62.5 | | W | 1- | 0 | | 0.000 |
2/27 | at Mesquite (1-11) | AZ 2 East | 69.8 | 10 | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.250 |
3/01 | MESQUITE (1-11) | AZ 2 East | 69.8 | 10 | W | 18- | 6 | | 0.225 |
3/06 | at Hamilton (11-3) | AZ 2 East | 82.1 | 3 | L | 8- | 11 | | -0.125 |
3/25 | at Hamilton (11-3) | AZ 2 East | 82.1 | 3 | L | 11- | 14 | | -0.125 |
3/29 | SALPOINTE CATHOLIC (9-5) | AZ 2 South | 79.6 | 4 | L | 2- | 5 | | -0.175 |
4/04 | at Mesquite (1-11) | AZ 2 East | 69.8 | 10 | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.250 |
4/12 | TUCSON TANQUE VERDE (13-2) | AZ 2 South | 86.7 | 2 | L | 5- | 18 | | -0.025 |
| | 79.0 | | | | | | -0.35 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/06 | H | Horizon | 6- | 9 | -3 | -2 | | -0.32 | -0.85 | |
2/13 | A | Notre Dame Prep | 8- | 15 | -7 | -10 | + | 0.32 | 3.35 | |
2/16 | H | Pinnacle | 6- | 15 | -9 | 2 | ––– | -0.32 | 11.40 | |
2/20 | H | Hamilton | 5- | 13 | -8 | -5 | – | -0.32 | -3.37 | |
2/27 | A | Mesquite | 11- | 10 | 1 | 0 | | 0.32 | 0.51 | |
3/01 | H | Mesquite | 18- | 6 | 12 | 1 | +++ | -0.32 | 10.88 | |
3/06 | A | Hamilton | 8- | 11 | -3 | -5 | + | 0.32 | 2.27 | |
3/25 | A | Hamilton | 11- | 14 | -3 | -5 | + | 0.32 | 2.27 | |
3/29 | H | Salpointe Catholic | 2- | 5 | -3 | -3 | | -0.32 | 0.16 | |
4/04 | A | Mesquite | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 0.32 | 0.51 | |
4/12 | H | Tucson Tanque Verde | 5- | 18 | -13 | -9 | –– | -0.32 | -4.33 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/01 | H | Mesquite | 18- | 6 | -2.00 |
4/12 | H | Tucson Tanque Verde | 5- | 18 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.09 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 73. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2391 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 73.53 | | Natl Power Rank | 2391 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 65.43 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1932 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2097 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.33 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1959 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -5.0 |
| 
