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Manchester-Essex Hornets (2-12)

Conference: Cape Ann

Region: MA 3

State: MA

Coach: Adam Pascalis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	PENTUCKET (5-15)	MA 2	83.0		W	8-	4		0.300
4/11	WILMINGTON (7-9)	MA 2	85.9		L	9-	10		-0.125
4/15	GEORGETOWN (8-10)	MA 3	85.6		L	4-	19		-0.125
4/18	at Wilmington (7-9)	MA 2	85.9		L	2-	16		-0.075
5/03	at St Mary's-Lynn (6-10)	MA 3	83.2		W	12-	11		0.350
5/06	LYNNFIELD (14-3)	MA 3	90.1		L	5-	11		-0.100
5/09	at Newburyport (6-10)	MA 2	86.4		L	11-	18		-0.075
5/10	at Gloucester (9-10)	MA 1	88.4		L	5-	13		-0.025
5/12	at Medford (6-13)	MA 1	86.3		L	7-	9		-0.075
5/14	NORTH READING (2-17)	MA 3	79.5		L	7-	9		-0.225
5/15	at Georgetown (8-10)	MA 3	85.6		L	8-	17		-0.075
5/16	at Ipswich (11-7)	MA 3	90.3		L	5-	14		0.000
5/19	MEDFORD (6-13)	MA 1	86.3		L	7-	15		-0.125
5/20	at Lynnfield (14-3)	MA 3	90.1		L	5-	12		-0.050
			78.3						-0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Pentucket	8-	4	4	-2	+++	-1.09	6.36
4/11	H	Wilmington	9-	10	-1	-5	+	-1.09	3.79
4/15	H	Georgetown	4-	19	-15	-5	–––	-1.09	10.15
4/18	A	Wilmington	2-	16	-14	-7	–––	1.09	-7.03
5/03	A	St Mary's-Lynn	12-	11	1	-4	++	1.09	5.11
5/06	H	Lynnfield	5-	11	-6	-6		-1.09	-0.46
5/09	A	Newburyport	11-	18	-7	-7		1.09	0.05
5/10	A	Gloucester	5-	13	-8	-9		1.09	0.50
5/12	A	Medford	7-	9	-2	-7	++	1.09	5.31
5/14	H	North Reading	7-	9	-2	-1		-1.09	-0.56
5/15	A	Georgetown	8-	17	-9	-7		1.09	-1.97
5/16	A	Ipswich	5-	14	-9	-10		1.09	1.20
5/19	H	Medford	7-	15	-8	-5	–	-1.09	-2.87
5/20	A	Lynnfield	5-	12	-7	-8		1.09	0.72
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/15	H	Georgetown	4-	19	5.00
4/18	A	Wilmington	2-	16	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.64

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1923
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.70		Natl Power Rank	1923
Natl SOS Rating	63.70		Natl SOS Rank	2106
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.43		Natl Quality Win Rank	2232
W-L Pct Rating	0.14		W-L Pct Rank	2498
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.0


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