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Mansfield Hornets (6-12)

Conference: Hocomock

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: Tim Frias

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Canton (5-11)	MA 2	87.7		W	10-	7		0.225
3/31	SCITUATE (16-6)	MA 3	95.2	7	L	10-	11		-0.075
4/02	NORTH ATTLEBORO (1-17)	MA 2	82.0		W	10-	4		0.050
4/05	at King Philip (20-2)	MA 2	94.5		L	4-	6		-0.125
4/09	OLIVER AMES (11-9)	MA 2	90.8		L	8-	10		-0.275
4/11	at Franklin (15-5)	MA 2	93.8		L	6-	12		-0.100
4/16	FOXBOROUGH (11-9)	MA 2	90.5		W	9-	4		0.150
4/18	WALPOLE (21-1)	MA 2	96.5	3	L	6-	17		-0.025
4/23	CANTON (5-11)	MA 2	87.7		W	11-	8		0.150
4/24	at Wayland (12-10)	MA 2	92.1		L	6-	10		-0.175
4/26	at Wellesley (18-5)	MA 2	94.4		L	6-	12		-0.100
4/30	at North Attleboro (1-17)	MA 2	82.0		W	12-	3		0.100
5/02	KING PHILIP (20-2)	MA 2	94.5		L	3-	11		-0.175
5/07	at Oliver Ames (11-9)	MA 2	90.8		L	4-	8		-0.225
5/12	FRANKLIN (15-5)	MA 2	93.8		L	3-	5		-0.150
5/14	at Foxborough (11-9)	MA 2	90.5		L	7-	8		-0.300
5/17	at Masconomet (15-6)	MA 2	93.3		L	11-	16		-0.125
5/22	HANOVER (7-9)	MA 3	91.4		W	10-	6		0.250
			85.0						-0.92

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Canton	10-	7	3	1		1.09	1.53
3/31	H	Scituate	10-	11	-1	-7	++	-1.09	5.62
4/02	H	North Attleboro	10-	4	6	8	–	-1.09	-2.47
4/05	A	King Philip	4-	6	-2	-5	+	1.09	3.41
4/09	H	Oliver Ames	8-	10	-2	1	–	-1.09	-3.49
4/11	A	Franklin	6-	12	-6	-6		1.09	-0.21
4/16	H	Foxborough	9-	4	5	4		-1.09	1.30
4/18	H	Walpole	6-	17	-11	-9	–	-1.09	-2.06
4/23	H	Canton	11-	8	3	4		-1.09	-0.65
4/24	A	Wayland	6-	10	-4	-3		1.09	-1.27
4/26	A	Wellesley	6-	12	-6	-6		1.09	0.48
4/30	A	North Attleboro	12-	3	9	6	+	1.09	2.71
5/02	H	King Philip	3-	11	-8	-3	––	-1.09	-4.77
5/07	A	Oliver Ames	4-	8	-4	-1	–	1.09	-3.31
5/12	H	Franklin	3-	5	-2	-4		-1.09	1.61
5/14	A	Foxborough	7-	8	-1	2	–	1.09	-2.52
5/17	A	Masconomet	11-	16	-5	-5		1.09	-0.11
5/22	H	Hanover	10-	6	4	0	++	-1.09	4.20
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	H	Walpole	6-	17	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	743
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.98		Natl Power Rank	743
Natl SOS Rating	76.38		Natl SOS Rank	840
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.92		Natl Quality Win Rank	2739
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1988
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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