| Region: OR Willim | State: OR | Coach: Josh Barbour |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/13 | WEST SALEM (7-9) | OR NorVal | 81.9 | | W | 17- | 16 | ot | 0.275 |
3/14 | THURSTON (14-5) | OR Willim | 86.1 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.150 |
3/18 | at Roseburg (7-10) | OR Willim | 79.2 | | L | 12- | 20 | | -0.225 |
4/03 | at Churchill (13-5) | OR Willim | 88.2 | | L | 5- | 18 | | -0.025 |
4/05 | SHELDON (12-5) | OR Willim | 86.6 | | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.125 |
4/09 | at South Eugene (4-12) | OR Willim | 72.8 | | W | 8- | 3 | | 0.125 |
4/10 | ELMIRA (0-14) | OR Willim | 65.9 | | W | 16- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/16 | at North Eugene (3-14) | OR Willim | 70.7 | | W | 13- | 1 | | 0.050 |
4/18 | ROSEBURG (7-10) | OR Willim | 79.2 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.250 |
4/22 | at Thurston (14-5) | OR Willim | 86.1 | | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.125 |
4/25 | CHURCHILL (13-5) | OR Willim | 88.2 | | L | 4- | 18 | | -0.075 |
4/29 | at Sheldon (12-5) | OR Willim | 86.6 | | L | 5- | 16 | | -0.075 |
5/02 | SOUTH EUGENE (4-12) | OR Willim | 72.8 | | W | 9- | 2 | | 0.075 |
5/07 | at Elmira (0-14) | OR Willim | 65.9 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.000 |
5/09 | NORTH EUGENE (3-14) | OR Willim | 70.7 | | W | 15- | 0 | | 0.000 |
| | 74.4 | | | | | | -0.03 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | H | West Salem | 17- | 16 | 1 | -1 | + | -0.83 | 2.01 | |
3/14 | H | Thurston | 6- | 9 | -3 | -4 | | -0.83 | 0.52 | |
3/18 | A | Roseburg | 12- | 20 | -8 | -1 | ––– | 0.83 | -6.72 | |
4/03 | A | Churchill | 5- | 18 | -13 | -9 | –– | 0.83 | -4.13 | |
4/05 | H | Sheldon | 7- | 9 | -2 | -5 | + | -0.83 | 3.05 | |
4/09 | A | South Eugene | 8- | 3 | 5 | 5 | | 0.83 | -0.40 | |
4/10 | H | Elmira | 16- | 1 | 15 | 12 | + | -0.83 | 2.79 | |
4/16 | A | North Eugene | 13- | 1 | 12 | 8 | + | 0.83 | 3.71 | |
4/18 | H | Roseburg | 12- | 5 | 7 | 0 | +++ | -0.83 | 6.62 | |
4/22 | A | Thurston | 4- | 10 | -6 | -5 | | 0.83 | -0.82 | |
4/25 | H | Churchill | 4- | 18 | -14 | -7 | ––– | -0.83 | -6.79 | |
4/29 | A | Sheldon | 5- | 16 | -11 | -7 | –– | 0.83 | -4.29 | |
5/02 | H | South Eugene | 9- | 2 | 7 | 7 | | -0.83 | -0.06 | |
5/07 | A | Elmira | 17- | 7 | 10 | 11 | | 0.83 | -0.54 | |
5/09 | H | North Eugene | 15- | 0 | 15 | 10 | ++ | -0.83 | 5.05 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/03 | A | Churchill | 5- | 18 | 3.00 |
4/10 | H | Elmira | 16- | 1 | -2.79 |
4/16 | A | North Eugene | 13- | 1 | -2.00 |
4/25 | H | Churchill | 4- | 18 | 4.00 |
4/29 | A | Sheldon | 5- | 16 | 1.00 |
5/07 | A | Elmira | 17- | 7 | 0.54 |
5/09 | H | North Eugene | 15- | 0 | -5.05 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.09 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 81. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1719 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 80.49 | | Natl Power Rank | 1719 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 57.89 | | Natl SOS Rank | 2508 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.03 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1488 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.53 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1211 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 10.7 |
|
