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Minisink Valley Warriors (14-6)

Region: NY A Sec 9

State: NY

Coach: Chad Lakeman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	PINE BUSH (14-3)	NY A Sec 9	89.3	2	L	6-	11		-0.225
4/07	at Delaware Valley (0-18)	NY C Sec 9	58.6		W	15-	0		0.000
4/09	NEWBURGH FREE ACADEMY (1-15)	NY A Sec 9	67.1		W	15-	3		0.000
4/12	MONROE-WOODBURY (8-8)	NY A Sec 9	76.0	8	W	10-	9		0.125
4/16	VALLEY CENTRAL (19-2)	NY A Sec 9	91.0	1	L	9-	11		-0.225
4/18	at Warwick Valley (10-9)	NY A Sec 9	79.5	6	W	6-	3		0.275
4/22	at O'Neill (12-5)	NY C Sec 9	77.7	7	W	11-	3		0.175
4/24	at Cleveland St Ignatius (11-7)	OH 1 Reg 3	94.4		L	0-	9		0.000
4/26	vs. Massillon-Jackson # (9-9)	OH 1 Reg 3	90.9		L	5-	15		-0.100
4/29	at J.S. Burke Catholic (5-11)	NY C Sec 9	67.3		W	15-	3		0.000
5/02	ROOSEVELT HYDE PARK (6-12)	NY A Sec 9	72.5	9	W	13-	5		0.050
5/03	at Middletown (3-15)	NY A Sec 9	64.6		W	14-	4		0.000
5/05	at Washingtonville (5-11)	NY A Sec 9	68.1		W	12-	2		0.000
5/08	at Valley Central (19-2)	NY A Sec 9	91.0	1	L	5-	7		-0.200
5/12	WARWICK VALLEY (10-9)	NY A Sec 9	79.5	6	W	8-	6		0.250
5/15	at Roosevelt Hyde Park (6-12)	NY A Sec 9	72.5	9	W	9-	0		0.100
5/19	WASHINGTONVILLE (5-11)	NY A Sec 9	68.1		W	15-	1		0.000
5/22	at Kingston (12-6)	NY A Sec 9	83.0	5	W	7-	6		0.275
5/29	WARWICK VALLEY (10-9)	NY A Sec 9	79.5	6	W	13-	10		0.250
5/31	at Pine Bush (14-3)	NY A Sec 9	89.3	2	L	4-	15		-0.175
# Neutral site			84.0						0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Pine Bush	6-	11	-5	-1	–	-0.90	-3.57
4/07	A	Delaware Valley	15-	0	15	17		0.90	-1.98
4/09	H	Newburgh Free Academy	15-	3	12	11		-0.90	1.10
4/12	H	Monroe-Woodbury	10-	9	1	5	–	-0.90	-3.98
4/16	H	Valley Central	9-	11	-2	-1		-0.90	-1.43
4/18	A	Warwick Valley	6-	3	3	-1	++	0.90	4.35
4/22	A	O'Neill	11-	3	8	3	++	0.90	4.78
4/24	A	Cleveland St Ignatius	0-	9	-9	-10		1.09		1.29
4/26	N	Massillon-Jackson	5-	15	-10	-6	––	0.00		-4.32
4/29	A	J.S. Burke Catholic	15-	3	12	10		0.90	1.66
5/02	H	Roosevelt Hyde Park	13-	5	8	8		-0.90	-0.21
5/03	A	Middletown	14-	4	10	12	–	0.90	-2.37
5/05	A	Washingtonville	12-	2	10	11		0.90	-0.78
5/08	A	Valley Central	5-	7	-2	-2		0.90	0.37
5/12	H	Warwick Valley	8-	6	2	0		-0.90	1.55
5/15	A	Roosevelt Hyde Park	9-	0	9	6	+	0.90	2.59
5/19	H	Washingtonville	15-	1	14	13		-0.90	1.42
5/22	A	Kingston	7-	6	1	-1		0.90	1.71
5/29	H	Warwick Valley	13-	10	3	0	+	-0.90	2.55
5/31	A	Pine Bush	4-	15	-11	-3	–––	0.90	-7.77
									0.00	-3.03

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	A	Delaware Valley	15-	0	1.98
4/09	H	Newburgh Free Academy	15-	3	-1.10
4/26	N	Massillon-Jackson	5-	15	0.00
4/29	A	J.S. Burke Catholic	15-	3	-1.66
5/03	A	Middletown	14-	4	2.37
5/05	A	Washingtonville	12-	2	0.78
5/19	H	Washingtonville	15-	1	-1.42
5/31	A	Pine Bush	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1267
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.22		Natl Power Rank	1267
Natl SOS Rating	74.76		Natl SOS Rank	986
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	578
W-L Pct Rating	0.70		W-L Pct Rank	596
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	8-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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