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Mt Anthony Union Patriots (8-9)

Region: VT 1 MVLI

State: VT

Coach: Matt Morrissey

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/10	MOUNT ST JOSEPH (0-12)	VT 1 Indep	63.9		W	14-	0		0.000
4/12	at South Burlington (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	L	2-	6		-0.150
4/19	MIDDLEBURY UNION (12-6)	VT 1 NVAC	88.2	3	L	4-	11		-0.025
4/22	WOODSTOCK (9-6)	VT 1 MVLI	84.6	6	L	6-	7		-0.250
4/24	vs. Mount St Joseph # (0-12)	VT 1 Indep	63.9		W	16-	0		0.000
4/26	at Burr-Burton Academy (15-3)	VT 2 MVLI	88.2		L	3-	4		-0.075
4/29	BRATTLEBORO (4-12)	VT 1 MVLI	73.2		W	17-	0		0.000
5/01	at Rutland (5-12)	VT 1 MVLI	78.9	10	W	5-	2		0.225
5/05	at Brattleboro (4-12)	VT 1 MVLI	73.2		W	6-	1		0.025
5/10	at Mt Mansfield Union (10-8)	VT 1 NVAC	87.0	4	L	2-	9		-0.075
5/13	BURR-BURTON ACADEMY (15-3)	VT 2 MVLI	88.2		W	6-	4		0.400
5/15	RUTLAND (5-12)	VT 1 MVLI	78.9	10	W	2-	1		0.200
5/17	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY (15-4)	VT 1 NVAC	91.1	2	L	1-	10		-0.050
5/20	at Otter Valley Union (1-12)	VT 2 NVAC	73.9		W	11-	2		0.075
5/23	at Hartford (13-5)	VT 2 NVAC	87.4		L	3-	5		-0.075
5/28	at St Joseph Central (14-6)	MA 2	87.4		L	3-	12		-0.075
6/04	SOUTH BURLINGTON (6-10)	VT 1 NVAC	84.0	7	L	7-	11		-0.175
# Neutral site			82.8						-0.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/10	H	Mount St Joseph	14-	0	14	16	–	-0.57	-2.03
4/12	A	South Burlington	2-	6	-4	-4		0.57	0.45
4/19	H	Middlebury Union	4-	11	-7	-9		-0.57	1.62
4/22	H	Woodstock	6-	7	-1	0		-0.57	-0.79
4/24	N	Mount St Joseph	16-	0	16	15		0.00	0.54
4/26	A	Burr-Burton Academy	3-	4	-1	-7	+++	0.87		6.47
4/29	H	Brattleboro	17-	0	17	11	+++	-0.57	6.40
5/01	A	Rutland	5-	2	3	1		0.57	1.68
5/05	A	Brattleboro	6-	1	5	9	––	0.57	-4.47
5/10	A	Mt Mansfield Union	2-	9	-7	-7		0.57	-0.16
5/13	H	Burr-Burton Academy	6-	4	2	-6	+++	-0.87		7.73
5/15	H	Rutland	2-	1	1	2		-0.57	-1.45
5/17	H	Champlain Valley	1-	10	-9	-8		-0.57	-1.10
5/20	A	Otter Valley Union	11-	2	9	7	+	0.87		2.22
5/23	A	Hartford	3-	5	-2	-7	++	0.87		4.67
5/28	A	St Joseph Central	3-	12	-9	-7	–	0.89		-2.29
6/04	H	South Burlington	7-	11	-4	-3		-0.57	-0.68
									0.00	18.81

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	Mount St Joseph	14-	0	2.03
4/24	N	Mount St Joseph	16-	0	-0.54
4/29	H	Brattleboro	17-	0	-6.40
10-goal correction: -0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1645
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.58		Natl Power Rank	1645
Natl SOS Rating	72.69		Natl SOS Rank	1186
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	1512
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1488
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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