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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Mount Carmel Sun Devils (6-10)

Conference: D1Region: CA NorthState: CACoach: Nathan Williams

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/05SERRA (3-15)CA City83.3W6- 5 0.150  
3/07VALHALLA (9-10)CA Grosmnt88.3L5- 6ot-0.175  
3/12at Scripps Ranch (9-10)CA City87.7L4- 7 -0.250  
3/14MONTE VISTA-SPG VALLEY (4-15)CA Grosmnt82.8L5- 6+ot-0.350  
3/21MIRA MESA (2-12)CA City83.8W10- 3 0.200  
3/25PREUSS (4-4)CA Indep80.4W12- 4 0.050  
3/28MONTE VISTA-SPG VALLEY (4-15)CA Grosmnt82.8W10- 6 0.150  
4/01LA COSTA CANYON (19-3)CA North97.81L1-17 0.000  
4/04at Serra (3-15)CA City83.3L6- 72ot-0.325  
4/11MONTGOMERY (0-14)CA Metro70.1-    
4/15at Fallbrook (4-16)CA North83.9W10- 3 0.225  
4/18at Torrey Pines (13-6)CA North93.45L3-18 0.000  
4/22at Rancho Bernardo (9-8)CA North91.38L4-15 0.000  
5/02at Carlsbad (10-8)CA North89.2L6- 9 -0.150  
5/06POWAY (13-4)CA North94.73L0-16 0.000  
5/09at San Marcos (8-11)CA North87.4W10- 9 0.275  
5/13WESTVIEW (11-7)CA North90.3L7-10 -0.125  
 80.2     -0.32  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/05HSerra6-51   4       -0.20       -2.64
3/07HValhalla5-6-1   -3       -0.20       1.94
3/12AScripps Ranch4-7-3   0       0.20       -2.71
3/14HMonte Vista-Spg Valley5-6-1   4       ––-0.20       -4.89
3/21HMira Mesa10-37   2       ++-0.20       4.85
3/25HPreuss12-48   8       -0.20       -0.26
3/28HMonte Vista-Spg Valley10-64   4       -0.20       0.11
4/01HLa Costa Canyon1-17-16   -19       +-0.20       2.76
4/04ASerra6-7-1   3       ––0.20       -4.24
4/15AFallbrook10-37   1       ++0.20       5.89
4/18ATorrey Pines3-18-15   -13       0.20       -2.42
4/22ARancho Bernardo4-15-11   -10       0.20       -1.01
5/02ACarlsbad6-9-3   -4       0.20       0.82
5/06HPoway0-16-16   -14       -0.20       -2.03
5/09ASan Marcos10-91   -1       0.20       1.89
5/13HWestview7-10-3   -5       -0.20       1.94
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01HLa Costa Canyon1-17-2.76
4/18ATorrey Pines3-182.42
4/22ARancho Bernardo4-151.00
5/06HPoway0-162.03
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 1114
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.84   Natl Power Rank 1114
Natl SOS Rating 68.24   Natl SOS Rank 1656
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.32   Natl Quality Win Rank 2051
W-L Pct Rating 0.38   W-L Pct Rank 1843
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 6-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -15.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -14.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -7.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -6.0



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